As we write this during the first week of July we are just 4 weeks away from the start of what surely will be one of the most exciting Premier League campaigns we have seen in many years.
Yes, Manchester City and Liverpool have dominated over the last couple of seasons and the rest of the pack has a fair bit of work to do to make a challenge this season but we are here to take a look at what may turn out to be some of the best Premier League bets for the 2023-2024 season.
With the way football betting has developed over the last few years, it is not just about picking a team based on results.
There is so much data available to football punters now that you can make more informed choices and make profits from your football betting.
Read on to see some of last season’s stats that can be used to make potential profits betting on Premier League football and if you are a novice at betting on football then check out our helpful guide – How to bet on football.
- Bet £10 Get £30
- 3 x first deposit up to £10 as a bonus.
- 90 Days to use bonus credits
£5
31/12/2024
New Customers only. Bet £10* & Get £30* in Free Bets. Sign up, deposit between £5* and £10* to your account and bet365 will give you three times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value and they are settled. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs, time limits & exclusions apply. Significant Terms and Conditions • Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5* or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30* in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. • To release your Bet Credits for use, you must place qualifying bets to the value of your qualifying deposit (capped at £10*) and they must settle within 30 days of claiming the offer. Only qualifying bets placed and settled after claiming the offer will count towards this requirement. • Apple Pay, Google Pay, PayPal, paysafecard and all other prepaid credit and debit cards, where available, cannot be used for either your qualifying deposit or any subsequent withdrawal of returns from Bet Credits stakes unless we have successfully verified an accepted form of your Identity Documents and you have entered a Postal Verification Code (PVC), or we have successfully verified two accepted forms of your Identity Documents. See full Terms and Conditions for details. • Bets placed must meet certain conditions to count towards the release of your Bet Credits: – Must contain at least one selection at odds of 1/5 (1.20) or greater. – In market/fixture combinations that only have two or three potential outcomes (for example Soccer Full Time Result), where you have placed bets on more than one potential outcome, either pre-match or In-Play, only the outcome with your highest cumulative stake will count. – Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, only the remaining active stake will count. – Where a bet has been edited using our Edit Bet feature, only the new stake on the new bet will count. – Fully Cashed Out, Instant Games, Gaming, void bets or In-Play bets which are settled as a push will not count. • Your Bet Credits are non-withdrawable, and Bet Credits stakes are not included in any returns. Any returns from Bet Credits placed will be added to your Withdrawable Balance. Bet Credits cannot be used on certain products, offers/promotions and bet types. See full Terms and Conditions for details. • Your Bet Credits will be forfeit and removed if your account is inactive for 90 consecutive days. *or currency equivalent T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply.
https://www.bet365.com
Bet365 Group Ltd / Hillside (New Media) Ltd
2000
Stoke-on-Trent
- £25 bet bundle offer
- Minimum £10 stake to activate first free bet
- Up to 5 x £5 free bets
£10
31/12/2024
Get up to £25 in free betsbeginning with a Bet £10 Get £5 free bet. Then up to four more £5 free bets. After the initial £5 free bet, you will receive a matched free bet equal to a 50% average of your next three qualifying bets in settlement order up to £5 max. This will happen for every three qualifying bets up to four times for a maximum of £20 in free bets not including the original free bet.
https://www.boylesports.com
Boylesports Enterprise
1982
Finnabair Industrial Estate, Dundalk, County Louth, Ireland.
- Bet £10 Get £20
- Not a traditional bookie
- Multiple Football Games Available
£20
31/12/2025
No terms available
https://www.betmate.app/
Betmate Ltd
2020
Liverpool
£1
31/12/2024
The offer is limited to one per customer, family, address, shared computer/IP, and account details. 1xBet requires KYC documentation from bettors for identity verification. 1xBet has the right to alter or cancel the bonus at any time. Misuse or fraudulent activity may result in account closure and forfeiture of funds. Misuse can refer to bonus abuse, such as matched betting, in order to try and maximise winnings from the bonus.
https://www.1xBet.com
1xBet1
2007
Limassol, Cyprus
- Money back as free bet if first selection loses.
- Up to £40 free bet
- Bonus £10 casino bonus
£0
31/12/2024
These Promotion Terms and Conditions including any applicable instructions on www.unibet.co.uk (“Promotion Terms”) apply to all Unibet promotions. By entering you accept and agree to be bound by these Promotion Terms. In addition, Unibet’s standard Terms and Conditions and Rule Book (“Standard Terms”) also apply (available at www.unibet.co.uk). In the event of any difference between these Promotion Terms and the Standard Terms, these Promotion Terms will prevail. 1. This bonus, offer or promotion (“Promotion”) is available to individuals aged 18 years and over who have registered as customers of Unibet. 2. No employees of Unibet and its affiliated companies, or family members of employees and affiliated companies, may take part in Promotions. 3. Unless confirmed otherwise by Unibet in writing: (i) Promotions are available once only to any registered account, which shall mean no more than one bonus per user, IP address, computer device, family, residential address, telephone number, credit or debit card and/ or e-payment account, e-mail address, and environments where computers are shared (university, fraternity, school, public library, workplace, etc.); and (ii) Promotions cannot be used in conjunction with, or to qualify for, any other Unibet.co.uk promotional offer. 4. Unibet reserves the right acting reasonably and without prior notice and in accordance with its eligibility requirements, bonus abuse policy and internal trading risk policy to: (i) withhold, restrict or cancel this Promotion from individual account holders; and (ii) reclaim any bonus funds, enhanced payments or winnings from bonus funds. 5. Except as outlined in these Promotional Terms, amendments to Promotions will not be made after you are opted in, unless you accept any such amendments. 6. Unibet may, at any time, make minor amendments to this Promotion to correct typographical errors or to improve on clarity or customer experience and may cancel this Promotion for legal or regulatory reasons. 7. Unless otherwise specified in writing, in the event that you are required to travel to take part in any event, you are responsible for making all your own arrangements (including insurance). 8. Unibet accepts no responsibility whatsoever for system or connection problems that might affect any end user during any of these Promotions. 9. Unibet’s decisions in respect of any matter(s) concerning a Promotion are final, subject always to your right to refer a decision to Unibet’s complaints policy as described in the Standard Terms. 10. This Promotion is operated by Platinum Gaming Limited a company registered in Gibraltar with its registered office address at Suite 2B, 143 Main Street, Gibraltar.
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Kindred Group
1997
Kindred London Ltd, Kindred House, 17 Hartfield Road, LONDON, SW19 3SE, United Kingdom
- The SportingBet Welcome Challenge
- Bet £10 Get £50 Welcome Offer
- Easy to use Acca Builder
- 38 sports and events to choose from
£5
No terms available
https://sports.sportingbet.com/en/sports
Entain
1998
Suite 6, Atlantic Suites, Europort Avenue, GIBRALTAR, GX11 1AA, Gibraltar
- Free bets available after settlement of initial qualifying bet.
- Open to players aged 18+
- Free bets expire after 30 days
£5
31/12/2022
Full Terms and Conditions See full terms and conditions bellow 1. Terms and conditions a. For instructions on how to claim your free bet, go to ‘How do I find and use my free bet?’ on our website. b. When we convert currencies, we consider £10 to be equal to: €10 (euro) AU$20 (Australian dollar) CA$20 (Canadian dollar) CHf15 (Swiss franc) Kr80 (Danish krone) HK$115 (Hong Kong dollar) ¥1300 (Japanese yen) Kr120 (Swedish krona) S$20 (Singapore dollar) US$10 (US dollar) 2. General restrictions a. We expect you to be fair when you take part in promotions. We consider certain types of play to be unfair and to break these terms and conditions. These unfair types of play include the following. Using ‘minimal risk wagering patterns’ (that is, a set pattern of bets or stakes that unfairly minimises risks). Using more than one account in order to get more than the number of bonuses allowed for each customer. Sharing personalised promotions (that is, promotions only available to specific customers we offer them to) with others. This includes taking part in any personalised promotion forwarded to you by someone else when it was not intended for you. Taking part in a promotion that is not available in the country you live in. Colluding with other customers (that is, plotting with others to gain an unfair advantage). Using more than one account per person, per household or per IP address. b. If you take part in any play that we consider to be unfair, we may cancel any bonuses or promotions applied to your account, reclaim any bonus you have received as part of any promotion we have cancelled, and either: settle bets at the correct odds, not the bonus or promotion odds; void any free bets or bets funded by a bonus (that is, treat them as if they had never been placed); or remove any winnings relating to any bonus. 3. General conditions a. Regardless of anything else set out in these terms and conditions, you can withdraw funds from your main balance at any time, except where we must withhold the funds to meet our legal or regulatory obligations. b. You cannot take part in this promotion if we have previously banned you from taking part in promotions, or from betting or playing any games on our website. c. We can withhold or refuse to pay any winnings from a bonus if funds you paid into your main balance (including any amounts you have already used) are cancelled or denied by any payment service (for example, your card provider). d. We can change or cancel this promotion, or change these terms and conditions: without giving you notice, if the change or cancellation is needed because of any change in law or regulation; or by giving you notice beforehand, if the change or cancellation is for any other valid reason (for example, if there is a fault in the software or systems we use to provide this promotion, or we identify a mistake in this promotion or these terms and conditions). We can also award an equivalent bonus to the one referred to in this promotion. e. We will not be responsible for any technical, hardware or software failures, or any unavailable or lost network conditions which may result in incorrect information being displayed, or affect your ability to enter or take part in the promotion. If there is any dispute over your eligibility for the promotion, our decision will be final. f. Your use of our website, and your gaming or betting, is governed by our terms and conditions of using our website or telebetting service (the general terms). You must read the general terms and these terms and conditions before you take part in this promotion. If any of these terms and conditions conflict with the general terms, these terms and conditions will apply. g. These terms and conditions are governed by, and interpreted in line with, the laws of England and Wales. Any legal action in connection with these terms and conditions will be dealt with in the courts of England and Wales. h. This promotion is offered, managed and made available on our website (williamhill.com) by us, WHG (International) Limited.
https://sports.williamhill.com/
William Hill PLC
1934
William Hill Global PLC, Tagliaferro Business Centre, Level 7, High Street, Sliema SLM 1549, Malta
- Bet £10 Get £50 In Bonuses
- First bet must be placed at a cumulative odds of evens (2.0) or greater
- Free bets valid for 7 days
£5
31/12/2024
Terms and Conditions 1. New internet and mobile customers only. 2. The promotion is only available to customers from the UK (including Northern Ireland). 3. Only your first bet with Betfred counts towards this offer. 4. Your first bet must be placed at a cumulative price of evens (2.0) or greater. Any bet type will qualify but must have a total stake of at least £10. 5. Your first bet must be placed and settled within 7 days of registration. 6. Customers who register on 09/04/24 will be excluded from this offer. 7. You must deposit and bet a minimum of £10 in one bet transaction at odds of even or greater. For example, two £5 single bets of evens or greater will not qualify as they are two separate bet transactions. 8. Betfred.com reserves the right to withhold the rewarding of any Free Bet payment if a customer’s identity cannot be verified using our standard checks or, if we have reasonable grounds to believe that the account holder is not the person who has created the account or is operating the account. In these cases, Betfred may request a valid government issued photo identity (passport/full driving licence) and proof of address (bank statement/utility bill) dated within the last 3 months, along with a photo of yourself holding a passport or full driving licence so that you can be clearly identified alongside your photo ID (a selfie). Failure to satisfy verification of your identity will result in the non-payment of your bonus. 9. Your first bet must be placed on Sportsbook markets. (Totepool, Games, Casino, Numbers, Lotto, Virtual, Poker and Bingo do not qualify). 10. Cashed out bets do not count towards this offer. 11. In most cases, the Free Bet amount (2 x £20) will be credited to customer accounts within 10 hours of the qualifying bet being settled. However, bonus payments may be delayed should further account validation be needed. 12. Minimum and Maximum Free Bet amount is £20. 13. All Free Bets are valid for 7 days after issue. Any free bet amount left unused after 7 days will be removed. 14. Free Bet stakes are not included in any returns and are non-withdrawable. 15. One welcome offer per address/IP address/device or mobile number. Previous account holders are not eligible for the offer. Anyone opening a Betfred.com account that has previously held an account with us that is closed does not qualify for the offer. 16. Only one welcome offer per new customer. Customers can either qualify for the Bet £10, get £50 in Free Bets offer OR one of the Games, Lotto or Virtual new customer offers, not both. 17. Customers depositing using prepaid Visa’s and Mastercard’s, or e-Wallets will not qualify for this promotion. 18. These terms and Conditions are additional to and operate in conjunction with the General Betfred Terms and Conditions. 19. Betfred.com reserves the right to withdraw or amend this offer at any time. Please note: The terms & conditions at the time of sign up will still apply. Any term changes after date of sign up will not be applicable. 20. Gamble responsibly. For more info visit www.begambleaware.org or telephone Freephone Helpline: 0808 8020 133 21. Over 18’s only.
https://www.betfred.com/
Petfre (Gibraltar) Limited
1967
5/2 Waterport Place, Gibraltar,
- Offer is only valid to new customers who reside in the United Kingdom.
- Maximum Matched Free Bet: £30
- Qualifying bets must have 3+ legs on any Football or Horse Racing market
£10
31/12/2024
This offer is only valid to New Customers who reside in the United Kingdom. Min stake: £5. Maximum Matched Free Bet: £30. Debit Card deposits only. No other payment method will qualify. Qualifying bets must have 3+ legs on any Football or Horse Racing market. Both pre-match and in-play bets qualify for this promotion. The accumulator must have an overall odds of 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Multiple bets on any other sport will not qualify. No system bets (Lucky 31, Canadians, Accumulator-4 with 5 selections, etc.) Bet builder bets will not qualify for this offer. If one leg is void, then providing there is at least one losing leg, we will honour the Free Bet. Bets involving cash-out will not qualify for this offer. Real money bets only. We will aim to credit your Free Bet within an hour of the bet settling. The Free Bet will expire 7 days upon being credited. General Free Bet Terms The Free Bet cannot be used to place multi-line multiple bets (e.g. Trixie’s, Patents, Yankees etc.). Should the Free Bet be placed on a selection that is later voided, the stake will be returned to your account as a Free Bet. The Free Bet is non-refundable and the Free Bet stake is not included in any returns. Placement of a Free Bet on an each-way market is considered one bet (including the win and place portion). The return from this bet must be greater than the total value of the Free Bet placed for winnings to be paid out. A redeemed Free Bet will not count towards qualification to view streamed events. The following terms apply to all Betway promotional Free Bets (excluding the Free Bet Welcome Offer). Should you require assistance with any of these conditions, please do not hesitate to contact Customer Support. The general terms & conditions shall apply to all interactions with Betway and must be read with all relevant promotional terms and conditions. Unless specifically stated otherwise, all deposits have a playthrough of at least once (1), before a Free Bet specifically related to the deposit will be activated. Betway Sports Promotions department will be the sole judge in respect of honouring any and all promotional offers. Betway Sports reserves the right, at its sole discretion, to amend any offer and its terms at any time, including the cancellation of the promotion without any prior notice. Any customer deviating from the promotional rules may be disqualified without notice. Before any withdrawals are processed, your play will be reviewed for any irregular playing patterns. In the interests of fair gaming using a combination of bets which include both a Free Bet and cash on the same event to place equal, zero or low margin or hedge bets, shall all be considered irregular gaming for bonus wagering requirement purposes. Should Betway Sports deem that irregular game play has occurred, it reserves the right to withhold any withdrawals and/or confiscate all winnings.
https://betway.com/en/sports
Betway Group (part of Super Group)
2006
9 Empire Stadium Street, Gzira, GZR 1300, Malta
- Bet £10 Get up to £20 cashback if first bet is a loser
- Free bet must be placed on sports (no horse racing)
- Minimum combined odds of 1.5 (1/2)
£10
31/12/2024
Terms and Conditions The promoter of this promotion is Entain, registered in Gibraltar under the number 112454 and having its registered office at Suite 6, Atlantic Suites, Europort Avenue, Gibraltar. Specific Terms and Conditions 1. The “FreeBet” promotion will run from 15:00 (CEST) on 09.09.2020 to 23:59 (CEST) on 31.12.2022 (the “Promotional Period”). 2. This offer is not available in conjunction with any other sign-up offer. 3. By taking part in this promotion, you hereby agree to these Specific Promotional Terms and Conditions and to our General Terms and Conditions at https://help.bwin.com/en/general-information/legal-matters/general-terms-and-conditions. Backup bet In order to participate in this promotion, an Eligible Player (as defined below) must place an Eligible Bet (as defined below) during the Promotional Period. 5. Players must: a. be over 18 years old; b. be located in the United Kingdom; c. be a new player with bwin.com; and d. arrive at bwin.com via the page advertising this promotion and register during the Promotional Period. (an “Eligible Player”) 6. An Eligible Bet is a bet that complies with the following requirements: a. it is the first bet placed on bwin.com by an Eligible Player; b. the first bet must be placed on sports bets and must include a minimum of three selections, each at odds of 1/2 (1.50) or above; c. minimum stake of £10 to a maximum stake of £20; d. multi-bets will count towards this promotion. Single bets will not count; e. sports bet and live bets will count towards this promotion; f. web, tablet and mobile bets will count towards this promotion; g. a bet placed using a FreeBet will not count towards this promotion; h. bets placed using Cash Out will not count towards this promotion; i. bets placed on horse racing will not count towards this promotion; j. system bets will not count towards this promotion; k. cancelled bets will not count towards this promotion; and l. deposits made via Skrill, Entropay, PAYPAL and Neteller will not qualify for this offer. (an “Eligible Bet”) Mechanics: 7. If an Eligible Player places an Eligible Bet and any of the selections from the Eligible Bet loses: a. We will issue a FreeBet equal to the stake amount of the losing selections of the Eligible Bet, up to £20. b. FreeBets will be issued within 48 hours from the date that Eligible Bets (including combi bets) are resulted, settled and paid out. FreeBet Terms and Conditions 8. The FreeBet will be issued into the player’s account in accordance with these terms and conditions and the promotion “Mechanics” section of the player’s account. 9. In order to claim the FreeBet, players must log in to their account. 10. The FreeBet will be found above the bet slip. 11. The FreeBet can only be placed as one single bet and be used for football bets on bwin.com. 12. The FreeBet will be available for a limited time only and players must use their FreeBets within 7 days of it being issued (the “Time Limit“). 13. FreeBets will expire and shall be removed from the player’s account if not used within the Time Limit. 14. The value of the Free Bet will not be in included in any winnings. If a player places a bet using their FreeBet and wins the bet, the net winnings from the FreeBet will be credited to the player’s account. Further information on FreeBets can be found at https://help.bwin.com/en/general-information/legal-matters/general-terms-and-conditions/freebet-tac. 15. You cannot “Cash Out” your Free Bet. 16.If you have more than one FreeBet, the FreeBets will be activated one after another. General 17. Where the company suspects that a winning player is guilty of fraudulent activity, the company reserves the right to suspend or remove that player from the Promotion, and/or suspend that player’s account and/or suspend the Promotion pending further investigation. 18. We reserve the right to alter, discontinue or terminate the promotion in accordance with the terms of our Standard Promotional Terms and Conditions: https://help.bwin.com/en/general-information/legal-matters-standard-promotional-terms-and-conditions.
https://sports.bwin.com/en/sports
Entain Group
1997
Suite 6, Atlantic Suites, GIBRALTAR, GX11 1AA, Gibraltar
The Big Six
Before we get into the stats in a bit more detail, let’s just take a look at the top 6 from last season and look at where they performed, where they underperformed, and what needs to happen this season for the chasers to maybe put some pressure on Man City and Liverpool.
Manchester City – 4/7
Man City scored 99 goals last season and amassed 93 points, winning the title on the final day after Steven Gerrard’s Aston Villa looked to be causing a huge upset until City kicked into turbo mode and blew the claret and blues away.
What is astounding is that we do not see a Manchester City player in the Top 5 in the Premier League Golden Boot standings.
2021/2022 Premier League Top Scorers
| PLAYER | TEAM | GOALS |
|---|---|---|
| Mo Salah | Liverpool | 23 |
| Son Heung-min | Tottenham | 23 |
| Christiano Ronaldo | Man Utd | 18 |
| Harry Kane | Tottenham | 17 |
| Sadio Mane | Liverpool | 16 |
This is a sign of their strength in depth right across the field, but now they have a recognised striker in Erling Haaland, they are only going to get better.
Haaland bagged 29 goals last season so anything over the 20-goal mark in the Premier League is going to be a big push for Manchester City and that is why they are 4/7 favourites to retain the Premiership crown.
And if you think Haaland could be the top scorer in his first season then the odds available are 4/1. With many bookmakers going ¼ odds first four places then that looks like a bet to nothing as you’d expect Haaland to score plenty of goals with the supply in midfield sure to give him plenty of opportunities.
Liverpool – 2/1
Over a number of seasons, Liverpool has had great strike partnerships and last season was no different with Mo Salah and Sadio Mane chipping in 39 of the team’s 94 goals, but with Sadio Mane leaving for Bayern Munich and Salah’s situation still fluid, then Liverpool actually look really poor value at 2/1 to topple the Citizens in the new season.
The importance of Salah who is a magnificent player can also be shown in the Assists table for last season.
| player | team | assists |
|---|---|---|
| Mo Salah | Liverpool | 13 |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | Liverpool | 12 |
| Andrew Robertson | Liverpool | 10 |
| Harvey Barnes | Leicester City | 10 |
| Jarred Bowen | West Ham | 10 |
Top in the goalscoring charts and assists, Mo Salah really is irreplaceable so it will be interesting to see how Liverpool are going to manage the succession planning over the next two years.
Add to that Alexander Arnold and Robertson will not be supplying Mane this season and their stats for assists can be expected to drop.
Chelsea – 16/1
It’s a new era at Chelsea with Todd Boehly winning the battle for the West London powerhouse following Roman Abramovich’s sale of the club.
Tomas Tuchel came in and did a great job last season and they have a solid platform to build on this year.
There is plenty of transfer speculation in the media and it looks like both Romelu Lukaku and Cesar Azpilicueta will maybe be gone by the time the season starts, leaving them short in two key areas.
The big rumour during the transfer window centered around Raheem Sterling and he has now made the switch to The Blues and looks a strong tactical purchase. Chelsea have needed a clear wide attacking option and maybe a change of scenery for Sterling will be a boost for the England Man as well.
Could Sterling turn out to be one of the best Premier League bets for the Golden Boot?
Kalidou Koulibaly has also signed from Napoli, and surely we’ll see more transfer action from the West London club before the summer window slams shut.
Tottenham – 14/1
Antonio Conte is quietly building his squad at Spurs and it seems that maverick Chairman Daniel Levy has trust in the Italian, and with Kane and Son still banging in the goals, then Spurs could well be the team to challenge the top two.
They have already been busy in the summer window signing Yves Bissouma from Brighton for £25 million and there seems more to come from the North London outfit.
Below you can see how busy they have been during this window.
- Ivan Perisic (Inter)
- Fraser Forster (Southampton)
- Yves Bissouma (Brighton)
- Richarlison (Everton)
- Clement Lenglet (Barcelona) Loan
Arsenal – 40/1 (50’s &66’s in Places)
The “Gooners” had a very poor start to the season but Pep Guardiola’s pupil Mikel Arteta certainly improved throughout the season and the Arsenal board should be commended on having patience with the Spaniard as he has been slowly building his squad and the second half of the season for The Gunners was one which told their rivals to keep an eye over their shoulders for the forthcoming season.
Two or three signings and Arsenal could be pushing for a top-three spot. At the time of writing they are a standout 66/1 with Bet365. Would they be one of your best Premier League bets?
Arsenal missed out on top transfer target Raphina who has left Leeds for Barcelona. However, The Gunners have still be busy with the following coming through the door at the Emirates.
- Marquinhos (Sao Paulo)
- Fabio Vieira (Porto)
- Matt Turner (New England Revolution)
- Gabriel Jesus (Manchester City)
Jesus is definitely their marquee signing so far and he may well provide the goals that turn them into one of the best Premier League bets to secure a top four spot this season.
Manchester United – 28/1 (40’s in places)
Yet again, another season has passed and again the Manchester United faithful have had very little to cheer about. False dawns have come and gone in the last few years and now they turn to Erik Ten Haag who had a fabulous record winning the Eredivisie three times with Ajax.
He certainly seems like a no-nonsense character and it is this type of strong character The Red Devils need.
From a transfer standpoint, they clearly need to get a striker on board with the loss of Edison Cavani. Christiano Ronaldo carried this team many times last season but you cannot rely on the Portuguese magician who sorely needs some backup.
At the time of writing Frenkie De Jong was the man most wanted to kick off the Ten Haag revolution and it will be interesting if he comes in and Ten Haag brings back Donny Van Der Beek from Everton who the fans clearly love and who was not given a real chance.
Tyrell Malacia and Christian Eriksen have signed and they look sure to sign Lisandro Martinez fromn Ajax as well. Anthony Martial has done well in pre-season and interesting to see how he fares if given more game time in The Premier League.
Surely the target this year is to secure Champions League football, but even that is going to be tough unless Ten Haag can turn this group of players into a cohesive unit.
Premier League Team Performance Stats
So we talked about how football punters now have the opportunity to use data to bet on football so we have picked out a few key stats from each team that may give you some angles to look at for the forthcoming season.
Check out the stats below which should help you pick out your best Premier League bets for the 2022/2023 season.
Arsenal – The Gunners
Mikel Arteta is building a squad for the future of the club and in some ways, they overperformed last season. If they can keep that momentum going then they should once again be challenging for Champions League football.
- Emile Smith-Rowe had an average of 1.04 shots on target per game played last season
- Arsenal’s total average match goals last season was 2.9 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.6
- Average team goals conceded 1.3
- Last season saw Arsenal penalised with 69 yellow cards
Aston Villa – The Villans
Steven Gerrard has clearly learned his trade well at Rangers and is clearly being groomed for the Liverpool job at some point in the future. Gone has the fiery streak from his footballing days but in place of that is a strong man manager who is becoming more tactically astute game by game. With a couple of signings, they could be pushing for a European spot.
- Phillipe Coutinho had an average of 1.05 shots on target per game played last season
- Aston Villa’s total average match goals last season was 2.8 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.4
- Average team goals conceded 1.4
- Last season saw Aston Villa penalised with 81 yellow cards
Bournemouth – The Cherries
They did well to push Fulham right to the wire last year and being back in the Premier League is massive for the club as it is for the local economy. Don’t expect to see any surprises this season and survival will be their key priority.
- Dominic Solanke had an average of 1.27 shots on target per game played last season
- Bournemouth’s total average match goals last season was 2.5 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.6
- Average team goals conceded 0.8
- Last season saw Bournemouth penalised with 108 yellow cards
Brentford – The Bees
Brentford had a strong start to life in the Premiership but soon found out how tough a league it was and dropped down the league. The ship was steadied near the end of the season and the capture of Christian Eriksson was a major coup. However, the Dane has now moved to Manchester Utd which leaves a big hole in terms of creating chances.
- Ivan Toney had an average of 0.86 shots on target per game played last season
- Brentford’s total average match goals last season was 2.7 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.3
- Average team goals conceded 1.5
- Last season saw Brentford penalised with 65 yellow cards
Brighton & Hove Albion – The Seagulls
Without a doubt, Brighton were the surprise of the season and watching their style of play was both interesting and entertaining. They certainly have some quality players and if they can continue where they left off then a mid-table position looks on the cards as a minimum
- Danny Welbeck had an average of 1.23 shots on target per game played last season
- Brighton’s total average match goals last season was 2.3 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.1
- Average team goals conceded 1.2
- Last season saw Brighton penalised with 73 yellow cards
Chelsea – The Blues
Players leaving, and rumours of players arriving during the summer will not make it easy for Tomas Tuchel, however, he is clearly a talented manager and if they can put behind them the stress and high-profile publicity of the sale of the club, then they have the opportunity to push the top two very hard during the new season.
- Kai Havertz had an average of 1.11 shots on target per game played last season
- Chelsea’s total average match goals last season was 2.9 per game
- Average team goals scored –
- Average team goals conceded –
- Last season saw Chelsea penalised with X yellow cards
Crystal Palace – The Eagles
What Patrick Viera achieved last year at Palace was sensational. The Eagles have always been a contender for relegation but the Frenchman got his team playing good football while improving them defensively. Again, a couple of new players and they can consolidate themselves as a mid-table team with the potential to do better in forthcoming seasons
- Jean-Phillipe Mateta had an average of 1.38 shots on target per game played last season
- Crystal Palace’s total average match goals last season was 2.5 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.3
- Average team goals conceded 1.2
- Last season saw Crystal Palace penalised with 69 yellow cards
Everton – The Toffees
The jury still has to be very much out on Frank Lampard as a manager with Everton lucky to escape the drop last season. The team just did not turn up to play late in the season. However, they did turn it around late so it remains to be seen how the Toffees fair this season.
With transfer speculation around Richarlison and Dominic Calvert-Lewin, then it could be a tough season. Losing those two high-quality proven goalscorers would put a massive dent in any team.
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin had an average of 0.86 shots on target per game played last season
- Everton’s total average match goals last season was 2.9 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.1
- Average team goals conceded 1.7
- Last season saw Everton penalised with 82 yellow cards
Fulham – The Cottagers
- Aleksandar Mitrovic had an average of 2.10 shots on target per game played last season
- Fulham’s total average match goals last season was 3.2 per game
- Average team goals scored 2.3
- Average team goals conceded 0.9
- Last season saw Fulham penalised with 78 yellow cards
What looked like a runaway lead last season in The Championship was eroded late on. They still ran out winners, but Bournemouth chased them all the way and only failed by two points. The key for Fulham will of course be their star striker Aleksandar Mitrovic who scored 43 of Fulham’s 106 goals.
That is a huge percentage from a single player, and it remains to be seen if he can do the same in The Premiership. He is certainly not going to score 43, but if he can register 20 strikes then Fulham might have a chance of staying up.
Leeds United – The Whites
Leeds look in for a tough season. They just about escaped the drop last season and it looks like they may be losing both Raphina and Kalvin Phillips which in all honesty will be a huge blow. There are signings in the pipeline but nothing of the class of the aforementioned pair.
- Raphina had an average of 0.75 shots on target per game played last season
- Leeds total average match goals last season was 3.2 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.1
- Average team goals conceded 2.1
- Last season saw Leeds penalised with 101 yellow cards
Leicester City – The Foxes
Brendan Rodgers went through a tough period last season, but Leicester did pull it around late on during the season and with a couple of signings they could be challenging for a European spot.
- Jamie Vardy had an average of 1.22 shots on target per game played last season
- Leicester’s total average match goals last season was 3.2 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.6
- Average team goals conceded 1.6
- Last season saw Leicester penalised with 58 yellow cards
Liverpool – The Reds
Again Liverpool proved how far they have come over the last few years by pushing Manchester City all the way in The Premier League. In Mo Salah they clearly have one of the best players in the world today (the stats tell us that) and it remains to be seen if Liverpool can keep hold of him.
They are certainly not wasting any time and have already replaced Sadio Mane with Darwin Nunez who scored 26 goals last season in the Portuguese League and a return close to that would be viewed as a sound investment.
In Jurgen Klopp they have one of the best managers in the league, and we can expect them to challenge again for the major trophies.
- Mo Salah had an average of 1.76 shots on target per game played last season
- Liverpool’s total average match goals last season was 3.2 per game
- Average team goals scored 2.5
- Average team goals conceded 0.7
- Last season saw Liverpool penalised with 50 yellow cards
Manchester City – The Citizens
The Citizens bandwagon keeps on rolling and the signing of Erling Haaland signals huge intent from the blue half of Manchester. Also in the hunt for Kalvin Phillips, he would add a great defensive element to City’s midfield freeing up Kevin De Bruyne even more. A scary thought for their opponents.
We can expect City to hit the ground running and they are deservedly priced up as odds-on favourites.
- Riyad Mahrez had an average of 1.31 shots on target per game played last season
- Manchester City’s total average match goals last season was 3.3 per game
- Average team goals scored 2.6
- Average team goals conceded 0.7
- Last season saw Manchester City penalised with 45 yellow cards
Manchester Utd – The Red Devils
We covered The Red Devils in our Big 6 write up but they have severely underperformed over the last few seasons. Erik Ten Haag has been viewed as a “New Messiah” to bring back the glory days but the jury has to be out. the Premier League pressure cooker will certainly test his credentials.
Having worked closely with Edwin Van Der Sar at Ajax, he will have learned plenty from his compatriot about life at Old Trafford and the more important signing is Steve McLaren in his backroom team.
McLaren has been here before as Sir Alex Ferguson’s number two and he was credited with providing massive success during United’s last golden period. He could actually be the key having been a player’s favourite previously.
- Christiano Ronaldo had an average of 1.51 shots on target per game played last season
- Manchester United’s total average match goals last season was 3.0 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.5
- Average team goals conceded 1.5
- Last season saw Manchester United penalised with 77 yellow cards
Newcastle United – The Magpies
What is in store for the Saudi-backed Toon Army? One thing is for sure, they seem to have made a good choice in appointing Eddie Howe and he clearly turned them from relegation certainties to a team well capable of holding its own in the middle of the table.
Interestingly the cash has not been splashed (yet) and there seems to be a real plan from the management team and we could see them really push on this season. They could be the surprise package this year.
- Bruno Guimaraes had an average of 0.98 shots on target per game played last season
- Newcastle’s total average match goals last season was 2.8 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.2
- Average team goals conceded 1.6
- Last season saw Newcastle penalised with 81 yellow cards
Nottingham Forest – The Reds
You cannot talk about Nottingham Forest without mentioning the legendary Brian Clough who will be looking down and surely grinning wildly seeing his past European Champions back in the big time.
They have done well to win the play-off final and secure top-tier football but at the time of writing are yet to make a signing. they have already released a number of players to make way for signings in their budget and will need to spend wisely. It looks like being a tough season.
- Sam Surridge had an average of 1.66 shots on target per game played last season
- Nottingham Forest’s total average match goals last season was 2.4 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.6
- Average team goals conceded 0.9
- Last season saw Notts Forest penalised with 101 yellow cards
Southampton – The Saints
Ralph Hassenhuttl has done a solid job at The Saints and it will be interesting to see if they can bring in some defensive options to bolster what is clearly a decent attacking unit.
They do try to play attractive football and that has its downside if you are struggling defensively. The likes of Che Adams and James Ward-Prowse are always going to get the team goals and it is this part of the team that is solid.
Two to three signings and they should be able to comfortably secure their Premiership status during the forthcoming season.
- Che Adams had an average of 1.03 shots on target per game played last season
- Southampton’s total average match goals last season was 2.9 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.1
- Average team goals conceded 1.8
- Last season saw Southampton penalised with 65 yellow cards
Tottenham Hotspur – Spurs
Antonio Conte has certainly made an impression at Spurs and his no-nonsense managerial style seems to have rubbed off on the players.
Spurs have already been busy in the summer transfer window with three signings including the veteran Croatian Ivan Perisic who certainly brings quality into the side.
Conte’s side proved tough to beat last season and finished the season with four wins and a draw in their last five games, a streak that will give them plenty of confidence heading into the new campaign.
- Harry Kane had an average of 1.44 shots on target per game played last season
- Tottenham’s total average match goals last season was 2.9 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.8
- Average team goals conceded 1.1
- Last season saw Tottenham penalised with 71 yellow cards
West Ham United – The Hammers
Without a doubt the success story of last season, after a slow start The Hammers really put a run together and were at one point fighting for Champions League football.
David Moyes has clearly shown what a talented manager he is and if backed by the West Ham board in the summer transfer market, then he can consolidate and maybe even challenge for Champions League football, such has been the improvement in his team.
No doubting that Declan Rice is a big part of this team and it is key they keep hold of their talisman. Saying this, West Ham have clearly built a “team”.
A group of players who clearly play for each other and last year’s European exploits can only power them on to be even hungrier this season for trophy glory.
- Jarrod Bowen had an average of 1.01 shots on target per game played last season
- West Ham’s total average match goals last season was 2.9 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.6
- Average team goals conceded 1.3
- Last season saw West Ham penalised with 51 yellow cards
Wolverhampton Wanderers – The Wanderers
Manager Bruno Lage managed to steady the ship at Wolves and they secured a respectable mid-table finish last season and we can expect much of the same this season.
They were pushing for European football at one point but fell away late in the season and a bit like Southampton, will need to shore up defensively to make any sort of push for Europe.
- Daniel Podence had an average of 0.85 shots on target per game played last season
- Wolves total average match goals last season was 2.1 per game
- Average team goals scored 1.0
- Average team goals conceded 1.1
- Last season saw Wolves penalised with 65 yellow cards
2021/2022 Premier League Final Standings
Last season saw Manchester City and Liverpool take the titel down to a deciding day, and once again they should be the two teams fighting out the finish.
The others are getting closer and with plenty of action for the Top 6 in the transfer market, we should see that gap close even more.
| Position | Club | Pl | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 38 | +73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | +68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | +43 | 74 |
| 4 | Spurs | 38 | +29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | +13 | 69 |
| 6 | Man Utd | 38 | 0 | 58 |
| 7 | West Ham | 38 | +9 | 56 |
| 8 | Leicester | 38 | +3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brighton | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | Wolves | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | +4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
| 20 | Norwich | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Premier League Player Performance Stats
So we’ve looked at some key stats for the teams, now it’s time to take a look at the key players from each team and some of the stats that may give you some angles to look at during the 2022/2023 Premier League season.
Arsenal
So which three players will be key for Arsenal during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
Bukayo Saka
Has become an important part of The Gunners Squad and has continued to improve since also becoming part of the England national team set-up. Three stats to be aware of with Saka that may help you pick out some betting angles.
Could he be one of the best Premier League bets as an outsider for the Golden Boot for which he is a best priced 100/1
- 97 total shots with 31 on target (roughly 33% success rate)
- 1088 passes with an excellent 80% success rate
- 11 goals scored from an expected xG of 9.00
Martin Odegaard
The young Norwegian has developed into a serious attacking midfielder and looks sure to play a huge part in the Arsenal push for glory during the 2022/2023 season.
- Produced a 7-goal return from 53 shots last season.
- 1576 passes with an excellent 86% success rate and 1378 completed passes
- 4 assists from an expected xA of 5.96 (One area of his game that needs improvement)
Thomas Partey
Has become an important defensive cog for the Gunners and should form part of the regular defensive lineup next year playing in front of the back line. From a betting perspective, it’s important to take note of his tackling and disciplinary record.
- 69 tackles made with 43 of those being successful which is just a 62% success rate.
- 33 fouls committed with 6 of those resulting in yellow cards.
- Pass completion of 86% of 1223 attempted passes11 goals scored from an expected xG of 9.0
Aston Villa
So which three players will be key for Aston Villa during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
Phillipe Coutinho
Although he did not join Villa until later in the season he certainly made his mark and with a pre-season now under his belt, we can expect the Brazilian to provide a serious goal and assist threat.
- 5 goals from an expected xG of just 3.49 in 19 games show us we can expect him to hit double figures during the new season.
- 3 assists from an xA of 2.73 is adequate for the time he spent on the pitch and it is a metric we can expect to see improve the most in 2022/2023
- 16 shots on target from 43 attempts and that could easily double this season.
Matthew Cash
The player who has inherited Polish nationality and now is a core member of that national side is a big part of Steven Gerrard’s squad, but some stats to take interest in here.
- 4 goals from just 13 shots on target and we’d expect Cash to beat that total this season.
- 1257 passes attempted with 921 completed and just a 73% success rate
- 38 fouls made and 8 yellow cards. Surely a player you need to have on your bookings radar.
Ollie Watkins
Has become the main striker at Villa and produced a good return for The Villans last season and should be able to build on what was a very solid output in front of goal.
With Coutinho acting as a provider, we could see Watkins reach the 20 goal mark, a level that might make him a great outsider as one of the best Premier League Bets for this seasons Golden Boot.
- 77 total shots with 32 on target (over 40% success rate) is a strong return
- 696 passes with just 500 completed for a 72% average. Definitely an area of his game that needs improvement
- 11 goals scored from an expected xG of 11.47 is a solid return and could reach the 15-goal mark playing alongside Coutinho.
Bournemouth
So which core three players will be instrumental for The Cherries in their challenge to provide Premiership football after this season?
Even beofr the season has begun, they are the favourites to face the drop with their pre-season odds at 4/6. Are they in your portfolio as one of the best Premier League bets for relegation?
Jefferson Lerma
The tough-tackling Colombian does not mess about and has been a lynchpin for The Cherries in their push back to the top tier of British football. However, in a season where we can expect Bournemouth to come under plenty of pressure, there has to be a cards angle here.
- 32 fouls made with 8 yellow cards and 2 red cards.
- Just the single goal from an expected xG of 3.54.
- 81% pass completion ratio which can be improved upon and an area to work on for the Colombian.
Jaidon Anthony
One of the regulars for X’s team last season and his contribution from both an attacking and defending perspective earned him many plaudits during last season’s Championship campaign.
- 8 goals from just 61 shots. So we can expect to see those numbers lower this season against much tougher opponents.
- 81% pass completion rate with 1209 from 1500 passes reaching a team mate.
- 7 assists from an expected xA of 10.63 so a fair return but one where his final delivery could be improved.
Ethan Laird
Laird is progressing into a fine full-back and some of his stats bare close inspection for betting opportunities in the 2022/2023 season.
- 18 total shots with 3 on target (roughly 16% success rate) but only 4 were off target with the other 11 blocked
- Contributed 4 assists from an xA of 3.39 passes with an excellent 80% success rate
- 37 successful tackles from 44 attempted
Brentford
So which three players will be key for Brentford during the coming season and will Christian Erikssen still be with The Bees once the season gets underway?.
Bryan Mbeumo
Has become a key part of Brewntford’s attack and way outperformed his xG in terms of assists last season. He needs to up the ante in terms of goal input but that is surely something that will come for the young Frenchman.
- 7 assists from an xA of just 3.66 show his value to the team.
- With 20 shots on target from 77 attempts. it’s clear where he needs to improve his game
- 4 goals scored from an expected xG of 9.66 is a disappointing stat
Ivan Toney
The Bees main striker had a productive season and looks sure to push on and improve on last season’s tally of 12 league goals.
- His no-nonsense approach and physical style saw him make 50 fouls last season picking up 8 yellow cards.
- His on-target shot ratio is a bit better than 30% with 29 on target from 88 attempts.
- 12 goals scored from an expected xG of 13.14 is a strong return for a mid-table team.
Ethan Pinnock
The Jamaican central defender has become a core part of the Bee’s defensive line, but apart from his defensive qualities, he also offers potential in attack as well.
- 64 tackles attempted with 51 (80% success rate) completed.
- 1435 passes with an excellent 76% success rate
- 1 goal scored from 16 attempts last season with 8 of those on target.
Brighton & Hove Albion
So which three players will be key for The Seagulls during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
Leandro Trossard
The Belgian striker put together a good stats profile last season and was a core part of Brighton’s late-season push which took them to the fringes of European football. He looks an all round striker and intelligent link-up play is part of his profile.
- 74 total shots with 27 on target (roughly 36% success rate)
- 902 completed passes with an excellent 79% success rate backing up his smart link play.
- 8 goals scored from an expected xG of 7.62
Neal Maupay
Brighton’s other half of the strike partnership and the 25-year-old Number 9 from France had a productive campaign last season. Has become an important part of The Seagulls Squad. Three stats to be aware of with Maupay that may help you pick out some betting angles.
- 61 total shots with 15 on target (roughly 25% success rate)
- The robust nature of his game saw him pick up 7 yellow cards from 33 fouls.
- 8 goals scored from an expected xG of 8.55 is a decent return but he will surely improve on that in 2022/2023
Adam Webster
Will certainly offer a goal threat for the Seagulls from set-pieces, but at the same time will be liable to pick up a fair few cards based on last season’s stats.
- 5 yellow cards from just 16 fouls tell us a story and an area of improvement for him to focus on this season.
- 941 passes with an excellent 81% success rate
- 2 goals scored from an expected xG of 1.31
Chelsea
So which three players will be key for The Blues during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
Mason Mount
The young England International has become a key cog in Chelsea’s drive to securing Champions League football and put together an impressive set of performance stats last season as you can see below
- 10 assists from an xA of 7.25 total shots with 31 on target (roughly 33% success rate)
- 1132 passes with an excellent 86% success rate
- 11 goals scored from an expected xG of 8.05
Jorginho
The Italian was a core member of the Chelsea squad last season playing 29 times. His agility and skill were used more as the main midfield lynchpin but his stats show a keen eye for goal when getting forward.
- 16 total shots with 9 on target and 6 goals is a remarkable stat (66% success rate when hitting the target)
- 1906 passes with an astounding 89% success rate show his distribution skills.
- 6 goals scored from an expected xG of 6.38
Thiago Silva
Has become one of the most accomplished defenders in The Premier League and his distribution out of the defensive third is some of the best in the whole division. He also contributed 3 goals last season as well.
- Only two yellow cards from 12 fouls and 43 attempted tackles
- 2645 passes with a formidable 93% success rate
- 3 goals scored from an expected xG of 1.8
Crystal Palace
So which three players will be key for Patrick Viera’s Eagles during the coming 2022/2023 season and what does the data tell us about which players will have the most influence.
Wilfried Zaha
The Ivory Coast player has been the player that Palace have relied on over the last few years and it is only now he is starting to get more support as a goal threat for the eagles. His stats are some of the most impressive in The Premier League.
- His defensive input is also very valuable with 40 tackles completed from an attempted 61 (roughly 66% success rate)
- Just the one assist from an xA of 4.68. That should change this season with more attacking backup.
- 14 goals scored from an expected xG of 10.3
Michael Olise
Played a bit-part role last season, but the 20-year-old Frenchman will surely get more starting opportunities this season and his ability to create chances for teammates should see his stock rise this season.
- 5 assists from an xA of 4.58 show where he is very valuable to this team
- 19 shots with nearly 50% (10) of those on target
- 2 goals scored from an expected xG of 1.21
Connor Gallagher
The 22-year-old provided Palace with both an attacking and defensive option last season but it is as an attacking midfielder where his stats look the strongest.
- 3 assists from an expected xA of 3.53
- His combative nature saw him pick up 10 yellow cards last season
- 8 goals scored from an expected xG of 6.42
Everton
So which three players will Frank Lampard and The Toffees be relying on throughout next season with Richarlison looking likely to leave in the transfer window.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Has become the main striker for The Toffees and is now a clear second choice for the national team as well. Had an injury hit season but played the majority of the second half of the campaign to chip in some important goals to keep The Toffees in The Premier League.
- 2 assists from an expected xA of 1.5
- Tackle success rate of 69% with 11 made from 16.
- 5 goals scored from an expected xG of 6.15
Demarai Gray
Was more or less a permanent fixture in the team last year and having been with the club for less than a year, his contribution was solid and we can expect much more from Gray this coming season.
- 4 assists from an expected xA of 4.54
- 661 passes with an excellent 82% success rate
- 5 goals scored from an expected xG of 4.27. Not a bad return from the winger
Anwar El Ghazi
The Dutchman is a relatively new addition to the Everton Squad having joined in January and although he did not have much opportunity to make an impact, he still notched the one goal and one assist which was in line with expectations. Expect him to be a regular this term and he provides a real goal threat.
- 1 assist from an expected xA of 0.49
- Only managed 8 shots but 3 of those were on target with the one goal returned
- 1 goal scored from an expected xG of 1.09
Fulham
So which three players will The Cottagers be relying on this season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
Aleksandar Mitrovic
The big question on everybody’s lips is can Mitrivic produce the fireworks at this much tougher level. He’ll need to prove himself to stop being labelled a flat-track bully. The skill is there but he will definitely find chances more difficult to come by.
- 198 total shots with 90 on target (roughly 45% success rate)
- 48 fouls and 10 yellow cards (that could be higher this season)
- 43 goals scored from an expected xG of 34.69
Fabio Carvalho
The Portuguese was a big part of Fulham’s push for glory last season and he will be a key contributor of goals but more importantly, the attacking midfielder will act as a channel of supply to Mitrovic.
- 79 total shots withclose to 50% of those hitting the target.
- 841 completed passes for an excellent 83% success rate, something Fulham will be looking for him to replicate.
- 10 goals scored from an expected xG of 9.55
Tosin Adarabioyo
The big 24-year-old was an ever-present in the heart of The Cottagers defence along with veteran US defender Tim Ream. The England youngster was immense at the back but made a strong contribution in attack and as a defender providing aerial power in the final third at set-pieces, we can expect him to score this season.
- 2 assists from an expected xA of 1.66 total shots with 31 on target (roughly 33% success rate)
- 3076 passes with an impressive 87% pass completion success rate
- 2 goals scored from an expected xG of 2.49
Leeds United
So which three players will be key for Leeds, especially as they have lost Kalvin Phillips and it seems Raphina may well leave during the summer. They have made three signings already so it will be interesting to see what those new additions can bring to the club.
Daniel James
Has not yet fulfilled his potential at club level, although continues to shine for his national team and this could be the season we see him develop as a serious Premiership player. The ability is clearly there and when on form he is a very exciting player to watch.
- 54 total shots with 16 on target (roughly 29% success rate)
- 489 passes with a 73% success rate. Clearly, an area for James to improve
- 4 goals scored from an expected xG of 6.77
Luke Ayling
Was rightly praised for a number of performances last year and the veteran contributed not only in defence but also proved an attacking threat as well.
- 2 assists from an expected xA of 2.07 (A solid contribution)
- 22 fouls made with 4 yellow cards and 1 red card (interesting card angle for punters)
- 2 goals scored from an expected xG of 1.81
Diego Llorente
The Spaniard was an important part of The Leeds Squad last season, not only in his defensive duties but also in adding an extra dimension at set-pieces and his goal return for a centre-back was impressive.
- 67 tackles attempted with a 79% success rate of winning the challenge.
- 1375 passes with an 82% success rate
- 3 goals scored from an expected xG of 2.38
Leicester City
So which three players will be key for The Foxes during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
Jamie Vardy
Has become a real lynchpin for The Foxes over the years and the 35-year-old way outperformed his expected goal stats last season. 35 years old now but he is still delivering the goods and he can be expected to chip in 15 to 20 league goals again this season.
- 54 total shots with 25 on target (close to a 50% success rate)
- Just the 2 assists from an xA of 1.64
- 15 goals scored from an expected xG of 9.22
James Maddison
Has become more or less irreplaceable for Leicester and it all hangs in the balance whether other big clubs come in for him during the summer.
- 8 assists from an expected xA of 5.53
- 77 shots with 33 on target and 12 goals. Around 35% success rate on goals to shots ratio
- 12 goals scored from an expected xG of 6.64
Harvey Barnes
Has turned into one of the most productive midfield players in the Premier League contributing both goals and assists. At just 24 years old, he looks a likely long-term candidate for the England national set-up as well.
- 66 total shots with 24 on target (roughly 36% success rate)
- 10 assists from an expected xA of just 3.81which is a phenomenal stat.
- 6 goals scored from an expected xG of 6.91
Liverpool
So which three players will be key for The Reds during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence. Of course, Sadio Mane has left for Bayern Munich and Liverpool have bought in Darwin Nunez as the key replacement.
Mo Salah
Has become more or less irreplaceable for Liverpool and it all hangs in the balance whether he is still there after the summer transfer window has closed.
Last years winner of the PFA Player Of The Year, is he one of the best Premier League bets to win the award again? Currently on offer at around 8/1
- 13 assists from an expected xA of 9.04
- 1085 passes with an excellent 80% success rate
- 23 goals scored from an expected xG of 25.25
Andrew Robertson
Has become a key part of the defensive lineup for The Reds but his contribution as a full-back going forwared is one of the best in the league. He also chipped in with his share of goals as well.
- 10 assists from an expected xA of 6.56 (great return for a full back)
- 51 tackles attempted of which 36 were successful
- 3 goals scored from an expected xG of 1.71
Darwin Nunez
Nunez had a spectacular season in the Portuguese league and he has clearly been targeted as the replacement to Sadio Mane, and if he can produce a similar input to Liverpool then he’ll be well worth the price tag. Let’s look at some of his stats from last season.
- 4 assists from an expected xA of 5.17
- 85 shots attempted with 42 of those on target for a near 50% success rate on that stat
- 26 goals scored from an expected xG of 15.73
Manchester City
So which three players will be key for The Citizens in their quest to retain The Premiership Crown. There seems to be plenty of transfer activity going on at The Etihad with Gabriel Jesus going to Arsenal and possibly Raheem Sterling heading to Chelsea.
Kevin De Bruyne
The Belgian is undoubtedly one of, if not the best midfielder in the world and when he plays, City are definitely a better side. Had injury problems last season so it will be interesting to see how he handles the Premiership as well as the upcoming World Cup.
Even though he had an interrupted campaign he still ran Salah close in the voting for the PFA Player Of The Year and sure he is one of the best Premier League bets for that award this season for which he is priced up as the 7/1 favourite.
- 8 assists from an expected xA of 10.23
- 1388 passes with an excellent 83% success rate
- 15 goals scored from an expected xG of 5.74 which outlines his importance to City
Jack Grealish
It was a big move for the England man after lots of hype and publicity following his move from Aston Villa. Probably didn’t reach the same level in his first season at City and can be expected to perform much better in 2022/2023. An incredibly gifted and exciting footballer and it remains to be seen if he can fulfil his potential.
- 3 assists form an expected xA of 4.96
- Where Grealish excels is his passing having an 88% completion rate from 938 attempted passes
- 3 goals scored from an expected xG of 5.6
Erling Haaland
Has been the marquee signing of any team in the Premiership and its difficult to see him not having a positive impact on The Citizen’s goal tally. Will the pressure get to him? Only time will tell. Three stats to be aware of with Haaland that may help you pick out some betting angles.
- 80 total shots with 37 on target (or a 46.26% success rate)
- 7 assists from an xA of 5.32
- 22 goals scored from an expected xG of 15.55
Manchester United
So which three players will be key for The Red Devils during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence. They have lost some big names in the transfer window and as of the 29th June were still yet to make a signing although plenty were on the radar including Frenkie De Jong as a main target
Christiano Ronaldo
37 years old and still doing it at the very highest level. Arguably the best footballer we have ever seen and deserves all the plaudits he receives. His goals last season rescued The Red Devils on many occasions and without him the season would have been a bigger disaster than it actually turned out. Erik Ten Haag has a big job on to turn them into challengers for The Champions League spots.
The question is will he stay or will he look to move to another club to give himself a chance at Champions League football?
- 110 total shots with 42 on target (roughly 38% success rate)
- 887 passes with an excellent 82% success rate
- Only 3 assists from an xA of 3.61 but 18 goals from an expected xG of 17.21
Fred
Came in for plenty of criticism in his early days at United but has developed into a solid addition to the squad having over delivered on his core stats for goals and assists. Could he McTominay and De Jong work in a midfield three? Three stats to be aware of with Fred that he could improve on if United bring in a defensive midfielder.
- 4 assists from an xA of 2.28
- 1370 passes with an excellent 84% success rate, one of the best in the United squad and a strong asset.
- 4 goals scored from an expected xG of 1.59
Bruno Fernandez
It was probably an underachieving season for the Portuguese midfielder by his own high standards. He will surely do better as a number 10 if United support him with the purchase of a defensive midfielder. It will give him more free rein to go forward and shoot from distance. His stats are still decent but we can expect him to improve this season.
- 6 assists from an xA of 9.43
- 1370 passes with an excellent 79% success rate, one which he needs to improve in the coming season
- 10 goals scored from an expected xG of 9.43
Newcastle United
So the expected cash spending spree did not happen after the Saudi-backed takeover, and after what has to be viewed as a good season after Eddie Howe’s appointment, the real re-building starts for 2022/2023. It will still be tough to attract high-quality players with no European football, but they seem to have a long-term plan and it will be no surprise if they are challenging again within a few years.
Kieran Trippier
The experienced England international was bought in at the beginning of 2022 so had little game time for the Magpies. Still, he managed to register a couple of goals and that will be important for Newcastle during the coming season if he can chip in with 3-5 goals.
- 31 tackles attempted with 22 of those being successful (71% success rate) (La Liga Stats)
- 641 passes with an excellent 79% success rate (La Liga Stats)
- 2 goals scored from an expected xG of 0.2
Allan Saint-Maximin
The Frenchman played most of last season and was a great outlet to release pressure on his midfield during a tough campaign. That ability matched with his contribution of goals and assists will make him one of Newcastle’s most important players for the forthcoming season.
- 64 total shots with 24 on target (roughly 37.5% success rate)
- 5 assists from an expected xA of 4.48
- 5 goals scored from an expected xG of 5.76
Joe Willock
Has become an important part of The Magpies midfield adding goals to his solid tackling and pass distribution and should figure even more this season.
- 103 tackles attempted with 64 of those successful. Not a single yellow card which shows he is an intelligent positional player.
- 575 passes with a very strong 83% success rate
- 2 goals scored from an expected xG of 3.72
Nottingham Forest
So which three players will Forest be relying on to keep them in The Premiership. It is bound to be tough for the new boys, however, they have been active in the transfer market and have secured the services of Taiwo Ayoniwi from Union Berlin.
Taiwo Ayoniwi
The young Nigerian striker was a hit in the Bundesliga and he has clearly been bought for his proven goalscoring exploits in the top table of German football. It may take time for him to settle in and any return in double figures would be money well spent.
- 67 total shots with 32 on target (close to a 50% success rate)
- Just the one assist from an xA of 2.35 which clearly points to him being an out and out striker/poacher.
- 15 goals scored from an expected xG of 14.31
Brennan Johnson
Has become an important part of The Forest set up and his Championship stats were some of the best in the division. Not only a goal scorer but a provider as well, and if he strikes up a partnership Ayonwi then Forest could well surprise a few teams this season. This duo are sure to score goals.
- 96 total shots with 41 on target (roughly 33% success rate)
- 10 assists from an xA of 9.45
- 18 goals scored from an expected xG of 13.77
James Garner
One of the most industrious midfielders in last season’s Championship with an excellent passing record and an eye for goal as well. Played 44 times last season, so clear the young England man is an important part of the squad.
It will be interesting to see if he stays at Forest or is recalled to Manchester United.
- 1536 passes with an excellent 81% success rate
- 8 assists from an expected xA of 8.61, a return Forest would love to see this coming season.
- 4 goals scored from an expected xG of 3.69
Southampton
So which three players will be key for The Saints during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
James Ward Prowse
Definitely one of the most underrated midfielders in the country and his stats last season clearly back that up. Will Southampton keep hold of him during the summer? If they do then he will play a huge role in The Saints pushing for a mid-table finish.
- 97 total shots with 31 on target (roughly 33% success rate)
- 1605 passes completed with an excellent 87% success rate
- 10 goals scored from an expected xG of 5.83 (exceptional stat)
Mohammed Salisu
Has become a key part of The Saint’s defence over the last season and although not seen as a goal threat. His tackling and distribution numbers are solid. Where punters need to look is at the number of cards he received. He is a no-nonsense tackler and that sometimes ends up in cautions.
- 38 fouls commited with 10 yellow and one red card last season.
- 1380 completed passes with a solid 78% success rate
- 105 tackles attempted with 80 of those being successful.
Jan Bednarek
The Pole is a key part of the Southampton defence but also of the whole team. His goal return for a centre-back is exceptional and it is worth punters looking at him as an any-time goalscorer in matches against suspect defences.
- 30 fouls and 10 yellow cards point to a stat that punters might be interested in.
- 1201 completed passes with an excellent 82% success rate
- 4 goals scored from an expected xG of 3.87
Tottenham Hotspur
So which three players will feature for Spurs this season. In Antonio Conte, they clearly have a strong manager who really has been demanding of the board and he has been able to make signings to strengthen over the summer. So who will be key this season.
Richarlison
Considering Everton’s performancve last year, the Brazilian chipped in with his share of goals and assists. Spurs are clearly building for the future and he should surely flourish with the squad he has around him. The question is can he be accommodated with Kane and Son? If they can produce a system for those three to play together then they have to be feared this coming season.
He will surely score more goals here and could be an interesting outsider for the Golden Boot at odds of 66/1 (100/1 in places)
- 72 total shots with 23 on target. Expect those numbers to be higher in this set-up of quality players.
- 370 completed passes with a very average 66% success rate. An area for improvement in 2022/2023
- 10 goals scored from an expected xG of 10.38 plus 5 assists from an xA of 3.75
Son Heung-Min
What more plaudits can be loaded on the Korean’s shoulders. Spurs top scorer and plays in such an unselfish manner, bringing his colleagues into the game. An all-round player who would walk into any team on the world stage right now.
With 23 goals last season, is Son one of the best Premier League bets for this seasons Golden Boot? At more than double the price of Salah, his opening price of 12/1 looks outstanding value.
- 86 total shots with 48 on target (roughly 56% success rate)
- 7 assists from an expected xA of 8.71
- 23 goals scored from an expected xG of 15.42
Dejan Kulusevski
The Swede had an outstanding season last year and with more quality in The Spurs squad, he has the opportunity to be the provider from midfield as well as chipping in his share of goals as well. Three stats to be aware of with Kulusevski that may help you pick out some betting angles.
- 26 total shots attempted with 9 on target (roughly 33% success rate)
- 408 passes completed with an excellent 87% success rate
- 5 goals scored from an expected xG of just 2.69 and 8 assists from an expected xA of just 3.40
West Ham
So which three players will be key for The Hammers during the coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
Michail Antonio
The 32-year-old Jamaican has been with the club for seven years now but has been one of the most productive attacking players at the club in that time and should feature heavily again this season. Three stats to be aware of with Antonio that may help you pick out some betting angles are:
- 50 fouls from 36 appearances which is close to 1.5 fouls per game (a great stat for punters to consider)
- 4.33 passes with a 68% success rate. Clearly, an area for improvement
- 10 goals scored from an expected xG of 13.14 and 8 assists from an expected xA of 5.39
Jarrod Bowen
Has become an important part of The Hammers Squad and produced a great return on goals and assists last season which contributed to West Ham having one of their best seasons in a long time including that magnificent run in the Europa League.
- 79 total shots with 34 on target (a 43% success rate)
- 10 assists from an expected xA of 5.71
- 12 goals scored from an expected xG of 11.75
Declan Rice
Has clearly developed into one of the best midfielders in Europe and has been on the radar of many of the top clubs. Playing Champions League football has to be his key driver now and it is worth noting that West Ham seem to have been successful in keeping hold of their prized asset for the forthcoming season. Maybe it will be long-term if they can take another step forward and secure Champions League football.
- 113 tackles with 80 completed successfully (71% success rate)
- 1997 completed passes with an unbelievable 92% success rate
- 4 assists from an xA of just 1.81
Wolverhampton Wanderers
So which three players will be the main contributors for Wolves this coming season and what do the stats and data tell us about where these players will have the most influence.
Ruben Neves
The 25-year-old Portuguese is a solid part of the Wolves Team and as a solid passer of the ball, will be a key part of pushing Wolves forward this coming season. Posing a goalscoring threat as well makes him a valuable player. Three stats to be aware of with Neves that may help you pick out some betting angles.
- 25 fouls made but with a massive 9 yellow cards (one for punters to be aware of)
- 1655 completed passes with an excellent 84% success rate
- 4 goals scored from an expected xG of 1.54
Hwang He Chan
The 26-year-old Korean has made an immediate impact at Wolves and looks sure to play a more prominent role after 30 appearances in the league last season (10 as a substitute). Three stats to be aware of with Chan that may help you pick out some betting angles.
- 27 total shots with 12 on target (roughly 44% success rate)
- 517 completed passes with an excellent 81% success rate (holds the ball up well)
- 5 goals scored from an expected xG of 4.15
Conor Coady
Along with Neves, he has formed a strong backbone to this Wolves defence and another who has contributed his fair share of goals and we can expect much of the same in 2022/23.
- 12 total shots with 4 on target (a 33% success rate) meaning a 100% success rate with on-target attempts to goals ratio
- 1520 passes completed with an excellent 90% success rate
- 4 goals scored from an expected xG of 2.32
Top 5 Football Bets For Sports Bettors
In this section we want to give you some examples of some of the best Premier League bets and bet types available to football bettors. Not just the ones you all know and love like match result betting, first goalscorer betting, scorecast betting or even corners betting, all of which are great bets but may not be value.
So in this section we have picked out some of the less common bets you might want to have a look at.
Both Teams To Score
A straightforward bet type and one where the bookies usually have the advantage, but by looking at our team stats above you can see if you might expect both teams to score.
As an example lets look at an opening fixture for the new season where West Ham open against the champions Manchester City.
West Ham’s average match goals per game were 2.6 while City averaged 3.3 match goals per game. With West Ham at home for this opening fixture, we can be pretty confident both teams will score.
Match Result Under/Over 2.5 Goals
Using the same match as an example we might expect City to win and if both teams are likely to score as the stats tell us then backing City and over 2.5 goals looks a fair bet at 11/10.
Most punters have a gut feel on this bet but by using the stats we have gathered for all of the teams you can make some pretty informed decisions to find the best Premier League bets and improve your strike rate.
Handicap 1st Half
Another interesting market and on opening day we see last seasons Championship winners Fulham host the mighty Liverpool. On all known form The Reds should be too powerful, but will they find it easy to break down the Cottagers.
Fulham will surely try to contain Liverpool and hope to provide star striker Mitrovic with one or two chances.
However, you can back Fulham with a plus one goal handicap to win the first half at 1/1. Maybe an interesting bet considering the tactics they may employ.
Premier League – To Be Relegated
Ok its a strange bet but one of the most fluid markets in football betting. With so much media scrutiny around football managers then of course this market can change week to week.
A strategy here should be to try and find price anomalies between the bookmakers and the betting exchanges.
As an example, at the time of writing this article Everton could be backed with the bookmakers at 5/1 to be relegated while you could only get 4/1 on the betting exchanges giving you the opportunity to back at 5/1 with a bookmaker and lay on the exchanges at 9/2 for a certain profit.
Are Everton one of the b est Premier League bets for relegation or do you think current favourites for the drop, Bournemouth at 4/6, are the value in this market
Total Away Goals
A market where you’ll often get match ups of supposed weaker teams at home and stronger teams away, and we have such a match up in the curtain raiser to this season’s Premier League when Patrick Vieira takes on his old club Arsenal in what should be an Arsenal win on paper, but will it be that straightforward?
Crystal Palace looked an improved side last year and if we look at both clubs stats then Arsenals average team goals scored was 1.6 while their average team goals conceded was 1.3.
If we look at The Eagles then their average team goals scored was 1.3 whilst the average team goals conceded was 1.2
We could therefore expect both teams to score but the max amount the away side might score here would be 2 goals and you can back under 2.5 goals at 1/5.
Top 5 In-Play Football Bets
Next Team To Score
As the bookmakers look for more ways to give punters a wide selection of betting offers, they are turning to fast markets so the “Next Team To Score” market is one that has become popular. Just looking at last season we have seen a few games where the underdog has scored first and it happened a couple of times with Norwich scoring against Liverpool and Aston Villa scoring first against Manchester City on the final day of the season.
To Win and Both Teams To Score
A live in play bet that fluctuates in price throughout the match and one that offers much bigger returns than just a full time result (win-draw-win) or a straight both teams to score (BTTS) bet.
Here you are picking a team to win the match and of course both teams to score. But you could back both teams to win and two goals at various points of the match to create a profitable bet whoever wins. See more in our guide to the match result & BTTS betting market.
This is definitely one of the best Premier League bets as there is lots of historical data available online to help you find potential winners.
Match Result And Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Similar to the above bet, but here you have the draw that also enters the equation and it makes for six possible results giving you even more options to bet throughout the match to create a profit. It means placing these in play bets at strategic times when a team has scored.
Total Goals Odd/Even
An interesting bet if you like backing shorter prices with less risk. Here you can choose to back odd or even on the 90 minutes, the first half or the second half. Again prices will fluctuate as goals are scored and the clock ticks down. An interesting bet to add to your “Request A Bet” choices.
Total Goals
This is just a straight bet where you might have an opinion on the total goals. many bookmakers will offer a price on 0-2 Goals, 3+ Goals, and 4+ Goals.
A bet that can pay dividends when a top team are playing a lower level opponent. It is possible to “Dutch” the 3+ and 4+ to make a profit.
Other Major Football Leagues and Tournaments
As well as The Premier League, our footie expert Mike Lovatt covers all of the big football leagues and tournaments from across the World and you can also read his thoughts on the The Premier League, EFL Championship, The Champions League and The World Cup.
Whatever type of football bets you like to place, and whatever Premier League team you support, we hope we have provided you some great info and stats which will hopefully make your football betting more profitable.
