Finishing Position Outright Betting Market Explained
League positions are determined by the number of points accumulated by teams at the end of the season. In general, teams play 36 to 38 matches with three points awarded for a win, one for a draw and zero for a loss. The more wins earned, the higher a team’s finishing position will be.
At UK bookmakers, you can bet on where you think a club will stand come the end of the season. Pre-season is usually when clubs make transfers, extend contracts and change managers. These factors, plus the previous campaign’s standings, are the primary driving forces behind odds listed on bookie websites.
In simple terms, you are betting on which team will finish in a specified area of the league table. Finishing Position markets include options such as Top 4 Finish, Top 6 Finish, Top Half Finish and many more.
Typical Finishing Position markets available for the Premier League include:
- Top 2 Finish
- Top 4 Finish
- Top 6 Finish
- Top Half Finish
- Bottom Half Finish
- To Finish Bottom
Some bookmakers also offer Not To Finish markets, such as Not To Finish In The Top 6 or Not To Finish In Top 4. In addition, operators like bet365 give bettors the opportunity to bet on the exact finishing positions of every club in major European leagues.
To bet on this market, select which team you believe will end the campaign in a particular position. If you pick Arsenal to finish in the top four for 2025-26 and they come third, your bet wins. Should they finish fifth or lower, the wager is settled as a loss.
How To Place A Finishing Position Bet
Open the Football tab at your chosen bookmaker and select the Premier League or another competition from the list. Click on Outrights to view the available Finishing Position markets.
Next, click on the odds next to your preferred selection to add it to your betslip. Enter your stake and confirm the bet. If the team finishes in the specified position range, you will be awarded returns in full. OnTheBallBets recommends checking our Premier League betting sites guide for operators with the widest range of finishing position markets.
Finishing Position Betting Terminology
The term Finishing Position refers to the place in which a team sits in the standings at the end of a football season. You bet on a club’s final position by adding selections from outright markets to your betslip.
As the market solely applies to the absolute position of a team, returns will only be credited if you correctly predict the finishing position. Other factors like points total, wins earned or goals scored will not be taken into consideration when settling wagers.
Key terms to remember:
- League Position refers to where the team is placed on the standings.
- Top Half, Bottom Half, Top 4, Top 6 refers to a team finishing in a specific area of the table.
- Outright describes a market settled by a conclusive result at the end of a season or tournament.
Betting Strategy for Finishing Position Markets
Utilising a betting strategy is your best approach when it comes to winning. By placing wagers without considering relevant factors, it is impossible to understand why your bets keep losing.
That is why we always push readers to strategise before committing money. Yes, there are wildcards like Leicester City winning the Premier League in 2016, but that does not represent a normal football season.
Find Value In Expected Outcomes
In recent seasons, it has been relatively easy to predict the top two. Manchester City and Arsenal have dominated the summit of the Premier League, while Liverpool under Arne Slot have established themselves as genuine title contenders for 2025-26.
Betting on the very best teams to finish in the Top 2 or Top 4 is easy money, but the odds are usually very short. Instead, seek value in repeated outcomes that have gone under the radar. Compare the prices on clubs with strong recent finishing records and look for the best value.
There are, of course, other factors to consider on top of historical finishing positions. This is just the first aspect to examine before delving deeper into a team’s structure. Our Trust Index helps identify reliable bookmakers for these types of season-long bets.
Acquisitions Are Everything
Coaching staff, players, sponsors and new owners all fall under the umbrella of a club acquiring something or someone. These changes should always be considered before placing a Finishing Position bet.
This is where you will find good odds on clubs that have struggled for form in recent seasons. New investment, an ambitious manager and exciting signings can transform a team’s prospects. Newcastle United’s rapid rise following their 2021 takeover is a perfect example. They went from a mid-table side to regular Champions League contenders within two seasons.
Promoted Teams Can Surprise
Sheffield United, Leeds United and Brentford have all enjoyed fantastic returns to the top flight in recent years. The Blades came ninth in 2019-20, while Brentford were more than impressive against the league’s strongest sides in their debut Premier League season.
Newly promoted clubs arrive with fire in their belly, backed by fans who have enjoyed a successful campaign the year before. With nothing to lose, you could have everything to gain by taking a gamble on one of the promoted sides to finish in the top half.
Related outright markets to explore include to be promoted, to be relegated, to win outright and team-based outright bets.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Top 4 Finish bet mean?
A Top 4 Finish bet means you are backing a team to finish in positions one through four in the league. In the Premier League, this typically secures Champions League qualification. Your bet wins if the team finishes anywhere from first to fourth.
Can I bet on exact finishing positions?
Yes. Some bookmakers like bet365 offer markets where you can bet on a team to finish in an exact position, such as precisely fourth or exactly tenth. These bets carry longer odds due to the difficulty of predicting an exact placement.
Do points deductions affect finishing position bets?
Yes. Finishing position bets are settled based on the official final league standings. If a team receives a points deduction that changes their final position, your bet is settled according to the adjusted standings.
When are finishing position bets settled?
Finishing position bets are settled once the final league standings are confirmed at the end of the season. This is typically after the last round of matches has been played and the official table is published.
