League One · Regular Season – 8
🏟️ Abbey Stadium
Cambridge United 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
📅 Saturday 26 September 2026 · ⏰ 14:00🏟️ Abbey Stadium
Cambridge United Win❌ LOST
Match Result
1.76
bet365
★★★★★★☆☆☆☆ Medium (6/10)
Value Spot (+4.5%)
Odds correct at time of publishing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Recent Form
Cambridge United (last 6): WDLWDWD
7 match(es) played this season
7 match(es) played this season
AFC Wimbledon (last 6): LDWLWWD
7 match(es) played this season
7 match(es) played this season
Tip Analysis
Tip 1: Cambridge United Win @ 1.76
The model projects 2.09 expected goals for Cambridge United against 1.01 for AFC Wimbledon, giving Cambridge United Win a 61.3% probability. At 1.76 the market implies 56.8%, an edge of 4.47%. Ratings are early-season: 2 and 2 matches played, so they remain weighted toward last season’s baseline (league-average / same-league). Confidence is capped at 6 accordingly.
- Model probability: 61.3%
- Implied odds probability: 56.8%
- Edge: +4.5%
- Confidence: Medium (6/10)
Statistical Breakdown
2.09
Cambridge United xG
3.10
Total xG
1.01
AFC Wimbledon xG
Conditions: 13°C, clear sky, 8 km/h wind
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