League Two · Regular Season – 8
🏟️ New York Stadium
Rotherham 1-1 Crewe
📅 Saturday 26 September 2026 · ⏰ 14:00🏟️ New York Stadium
Under 2.5 Goals✅ WON
Total Goals
2.10
bet365
★★★★★★☆☆☆☆ Medium (6/10)
Good Edge (+14.1%)
Odds correct at time of publishing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Recent Form
Rotherham (last 6): LDWDLDW
7 match(es) played this season
7 match(es) played this season
Crewe (last 6): WWDDDDD
7 match(es) played this season
7 match(es) played this season
Tip Analysis
Tip 1: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.10
The model projects 1.06 expected goals for Rotherham against 1.16 for Crewe, giving Under 2.5 Goals a 61.7% probability. At 2.1 the market implies 47.6%, an edge of 14.10%. Ratings are early-season: 2 and 2 matches played, so they remain weighted toward last season’s baseline (relegated / same-league). Confidence is capped at 6 accordingly.
- Model probability: 61.7%
- Implied odds probability: 47.6%
- Edge: +14.1%
- Confidence: Medium (6/10)
Statistical Breakdown
1.06
Rotherham xG
2.22
Total xG
1.16
Crewe xG
Conditions: 13°C, clear sky, 5 km/h wind
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