League Two · Regular Season – 8
🏟️ New Meadow
Shrewsbury 2-2 Colchester
📅 Saturday 26 September 2026 · ⏰ 14:00🏟️ New Meadow
Colchester or Draw✅ WON
Double Chance
1.50
bet365
★★★★★★☆☆☆☆ Medium (6/10)
Good Edge (+13.4%)
Odds correct at time of publishing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Recent Form
Shrewsbury (last 6): LLWLLWD
7 match(es) played this season
7 match(es) played this season
Colchester (last 6): DWWLLDD
7 match(es) played this season
7 match(es) played this season
Tip Analysis
Tip 1: Colchester or Draw @ 1.50
The model projects 0.91 expected goals for Shrewsbury against 1.61 for Colchester, giving Colchester or Draw a 80.0% probability. At 1.5 the market implies 66.7%, an edge of 13.37%. Ratings are early-season: 2 and 2 matches played, so they remain weighted toward last season’s baseline (same-league / same-league). Confidence is capped at 6 accordingly.
- Model probability: 80.0%
- Implied odds probability: 66.7%
- Edge: +13.4%
- Confidence: Medium (6/10)
Statistical Breakdown
0.91
Shrewsbury xG
2.52
Total xG
1.61
Colchester xG
Conditions: 12°C, clear sky, 8 km/h wind
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