League Two · Regular Season – 8
🏟️ County Ground
Swindon Town 1-1 Accrington ST
📅 Saturday 26 September 2026 · ⏰ 14:00🏟️ County Ground
Swindon Town Win❌ LOST
Match Result
2.01
bet365
★★★★★★☆☆☆☆ Medium (6/10)
Good Edge (+13.4%)
Odds correct at time of publishing. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Recent Form
Swindon Town (last 6): DWLWWLL
7 match(es) played this season
7 match(es) played this season
Accrington ST (last 6): DLLDWLD
7 match(es) played this season
7 match(es) played this season
Tip Analysis
Tip 1: Swindon Town Win @ 2.01
The model projects 1.87 expected goals for Swindon Town against 0.74 for Accrington ST, giving Swindon Town Win a 63.1% probability. At 2.01 the market implies 49.8%, an edge of 13.39%. Ratings are early-season: 2 and 2 matches played, so they remain weighted toward last season’s baseline (same-league / same-league). Confidence is capped at 6 accordingly.
- Model probability: 63.1%
- Implied odds probability: 49.8%
- Edge: +13.4%
- Confidence: Medium (6/10)
Statistical Breakdown
1.87
Swindon Town xG
2.61
Total xG
0.74
Accrington ST xG
Conditions: 14°C, clear sky, 0 km/h wind
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