2022 Qatar Goodwood Festival
Many bookmakers are currently preparing their Glorious Goodwood sign-up offers, and price boosts for Glorious Goodwood 2022.
Now more commonly known as the Qatar Goodwood Festival, on this page we’ll be focusing on some of the best free bets and sign-up offers for horse racing at Goodwood.
This is one of the most significant meetings of the flat season where we are sure to see many of the horses from the Royal meeting at Ascot taking part.
We’ll be diving into the form of each race and analysing some of the key early-season performances to help you pick out some potential winners.
The Goodwood estate has a steep history in all things sport, including motorcycling, motor racing, and horse racing. The museum at Goodwood holds many exhibits of some of the fastest vehicles to grace the planet and each year they hold the “Goodwood Festival of Speed” drawing motorsport enthusiasts from all over the world.
However, here we are not talking about motor horsepower but equine horsepower.
The Qatar Goodwood Festival takes place from Tuesday 26th July to Saturday 30th July.
We’ve put together a step-by-step guide for the 2022 Qatar Goodwood Festival meeting, starting with a list of the best sign-up offers offered by each bookie, followed by a detailed preview of each of the races over the five days. We do this for all the major race meetings and you can see our last three meetings which included the Cheltenham Festival, The Grand National, and Royal Ascot. We will also be providing in depth analysis of The Prix De L’Arc de Triomphe, The Melbourne Cup and The Breeders Cup in November
Our expert looks at past race stats and performances, as well as giving an overview of the best types of bets to place at Goodwood and his Glorious Goodwood tips for the Qatar festival..
Each race will be analysed closely with betting suggestions and tips on which horses might provide value for punters.
On the site at OnTheBallBets, we are giving you a full analysis of the Qatar Goodwood Festival with a form analysis and breakdown for every race by our in-house racing expert.
Our in-house racing expert, Richard Smith, takes an in-depth look at past trends, particularly over the last 10 years, and picks out some angles which can help you narrow the field.
We look at jockey and trainer records in all of the big races and try to spot potential bets based on various data.
As we get closer to Glorious Goodwood, we’ll be updating the page with the latest news on the runners and how the betting markets are shaping up.
And for those of you who are novice punters and racegoers who might be experiencing racing for the first time, we’ll help you with some tips to make your day enjoyable. We’ll even break down all the technical betting terms and racing jargon.
If you are an experienced horse racing punter then you’ll want to check out our recent Cheltenham, Aintree, and Ascot pages to get an idea of what you can expect on this page as we get closer to the big day.
2022 Qatar Goodwood Festival
Ready yourself as we prepare for 5 days of top-class action-packed Group, Listed and handicap action. Goodwood is one of the most picturesque racetracks in England. Buried in a valley and carved into the Sussex downs, the undulations make it one of the world’s most unique racecourses with a distinct camber (slope) going from the stands rail to the far side.
This camber always produces plenty of incidents and adds to the excitement.
Equine talent from all over the world will descend on Goodwood and we are sure to be treated to five days of exciting and unforgettable racing.
DAY 1 – GOODWOOD CUP DAY – 26th July
The highlights on Day 1 of the Qatar Goodwood Festival are the two Group 2 events, The Vintage Stakes and Lennox Stakes, as well as the Group 1 Goodwood Cup.
The Lennox Stakes is a 7-furlong Group 2 event named after the Duke of Lennox which is one of the dukedoms held by the owner of Goodwood Racecourse who is The Duke Of Richmond
The Goodwood Cup which is the race for the stayers division and was won for four years on the trot between 2017-2020 by the John and Thady Gosden trained Stradivarius is always a great race. Stradivarius will likely be back to try and wrestle the crown he lost to Trueshan in 2021.
RACE 1 – THE CHESTERFIELD CUP HANDICAP – CLASs 2
The Chesterfield Cup is a Class 2 handicap that will be run over 1 mile and 2 furlongs and is for horses aged 4 years and older.
We will update the information for this race as soon as it has been confirmed on the raceday programme.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Our selections have been made from the 5 day declarations so these are subject to change depending on any non runners or horses not declared.
A very competitive handicap and the top weight West End Charmer looks to hold a solid chance if taking his chance. Rated 106, he has been performing at a much higher level, and now dropped into a handicap, he has a solid chance. Goes very well at this course and has been in the frame on his last two runs here at Goodwood. Priced up at 10/1 and that looks a fair price.
Bell Rock has been gradually dropping in the handicap and is now a pound lower than when winning at Newmarket last year. Has run very well here on his sole start at the track and is another at bigger prices that should represent some value for EW punters. He is also priced up around the 9/1 mark.
Those two should give punters a run for their money and the selection goes to WEST END CHARMER 10/1.
RACE 2 – Japan Racing Association Vintage Stakes (Group 2)
The Vintage Stakes is a 7-furlong event for the two-year-olds and will feature horses that we will likely see in 2023 being aimed at the Derby and Oaks.
The race does not have such a long history as some of the other races you see at Goodwood having been formed in 1975.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Angel Bleu | Frankie Dettori | Ralph Beckett |
2020 | Battleground | Ryan Moore | Aidan O’Brien |
2019 | Pinatubo | James Doyle | Charlie Appleby |
2018 | Dark Vision | Silvestre de Sousa | Mark Johnston |
2017 | Expert Eye | Andrea Atzeni | Sir Michael Stoute |
Several winners of the Vintage Stakes have gone on to achieve victory in one of the following year’s classic races. The most recent was Galileo Gold who was victorious in the 2016 2000 Guineas.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Fillies receive a 3lb allowance and horses that have already won at Group 1 or Group 2 level have to carry a 3lb penalty. These need to be taken into account when making your selections.
- Seven of the last ten winners of the Vintage Stakes were sent off as favourite.
- No horse drawn lower than stall 6 has won the race in the last ten years.
- Three of the last ten winners ran in The Superlative Stakes at Newmarket..
- Nine of the last ten runnings have been won by horse priced at 100/30 or lower. The other winner was 9/2.
- Five of the last ten winners had already won at least twice during the current season before winning the Vintage Stakes.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
As you can see from our ten year trends, favourites have a very good record in this race and the current favourite Holloway Boy was a shock winner on debut at Royal Ascot when being sent off at odds of 40/1.However, there was no fluke involved and after running green early, this big imposing Chestnut powered home to win decisively and will prove tough to beat, but 7/4 looks a short price.
Galeron has run twice with both of those coming here at Goodwood. He improved from first to second start and at 8/1, he looks good each way value for punters looking at bigger prices.
However, one that looks massively overpriced here is JIFFY BOY 50/1. Has had two runs and finished third on his first start behind subsequent Group 2 winner Persian Force. That was a sensational debut and he has since gone on to show he had trained on when winning a minor event last time. His run behind Persian Force would give him a rating of 93, and although he still needs to improve, the price is all wrong.
RACE 3 – WORLD POOL LENNOX STAKES (GROUP 2)
The Lennox Stakes is a seven-furlong event open to three-year-olds and older horses and over the last ten years has seen the favorites perform very well as you can see from our stats below the table of the last 5 winners.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Kinross | Rossa Ryan | Ralph Beckett |
2020 | Space Blues | William Buick | Charlie Appleby |
2019 | Sir Dancealot | Gerald Mosse | David Elsworth |
2018 | Sir Dancealot | Gerald Mosse | David Elsworth |
2017 | Breton Rock | Andrea Atzeni | David Simcock |
This year will see a strong contingent from Godolphin with Charlie Appleby and Saeed Bin Suroor sure to target the race they won in 2020, The seven-furlong trip will see a mix of three-year-olds who would have run in this years 2000 Guineas as well as the older horses from last years classic generation. We may also see the 2020 winner Space Blues join the line-up.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of The Lennox Stakes is usually a straightforward task for punters with favourites and those near the top of the betting having a strong record in recent years.
There are no real stand-out trainer or jockey stats for this race, but taking into account the recent winners and their age groups, can give a strong pointer, as well as some of the other stats we have highlighted below.
So let’s look at some of those key trends from the past 10 years that might help you to pick out the winner of this competitive Group 2.
- Five of the last ten winners have been 4-year-olds with three 5-year-olds, a 3-year-old and a 7-year-old.
- Six of the last ten winners were returned as favourite.
- Nine of the last ten runnings have been won by a horse that was priced at 7/1 or less.
- No horse drawn lower than stall 7 has won in the last ten years.
- No horse rated less than 110 has won the race in the last ten years.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A 13 runner field and we have narrowed it down to 4 runners. It does not mean we’ll find the winner but each of these holds solid chances.
Our starting point is last years winner Kinross who now has an official rating of 112 after winning off 114 last year. He has not won since but has been running very consistently and against much tougher opposition than he faces here.
Sacred is the current favourite for the race at around 2/1 and she was very unlucky not to win at Royal Ascot. Her profile is one of an improving horse and being a four year old she fits some of the main trends that previous winners have had.
One of the older horses that should be in the mix is Pogo who has won two Group 3 races recently and comes here off a career high rating of 115. Well fancied at around the 4/1 mark. He should give punters a good run for their money.
However, the main selection is LUSAIL 9/2 who represents the Hannon yard and has not stopped improving all season. After finishing 6th behind Coroebus in the 2000 Guineas, he then went onto Ascot where he closed the gap on that rival and was only beaten a head. He has been kept busy and put in another top class performance to finish third in France in The Prix Jean Prat. Back to a mile here and getting a weight for age allowance, he’ll be very difficult to keep out of the frame.
RACE 4 – Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series)
Down the years we have seen many great stayers win The Goodwood Cup on multiple occasions including the legendary Le Moss, the Aiden O’Brian trained Yeats, triple champion Double Trigger, crowd favourite Big Orange who won consecutive runnings in 2015 and 2016 and of course Stradivarius who won four on the bounce between 2017 and 2020.
This year promises to provide another thrilling race, so let’s look at how we might pick out the winner and if the ten-year trends can give us any pointers.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Trueshan | Hollie Doyle | Alan King |
2020 | Stradivarius | Frankie Dettori | John Gosden |
2019 | Stradivarius | Frankie Dettori | John Gosden |
2018 | Stradivarius | Andrea Atzeni | John Gosden |
2017 | Stradivarius | Andrea Atzeni | John Gosden |
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of any race at Glorious Goodwood is always a tough call. But this year it looks like the race is at the mercy of Trueshan if he gets his ground conditions.
He did not get a run at Ascot because the ground was too firm. Stradivarius won the Lonsdale Cup at York earlier in the season where he had to fight hard there to hold off the 5-year-old Thunderous by a length conceding him 3lbs, and will be aiming to win his fifth Goodwood Cup in the last six years.
So let’s look at some of the trends from the past ten years that might help you to pick out the winner.
- Only one of the last ten runnings have been won by a three year old.
- Seven of the last ten winners have been aged either 4 or 5 so look for an improving younger horse.
- Nine of the last ten winners had run at least two times that season but no more than three times.
- No horse over the odds of 6/1 has won in the last ten years.
- Six of the last ten winners were sent off favourite with two other favourites finishing second in that same period.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Clearly a race for those that are shorter in the betting with favourites having a very strong record.
That mantle falls on the shoulders of the Aiden O’Brien trained Kyprios who was a game winner of the Ascot Gold Cup. But to put his task into perspective, he is now rated 119 so still has to improve 5lbs to match TRUESHAN 100/30 who is rated 124 after one of, if not the best, weight carrying performances ever seen, when shouldering 10st 8lbs to win the Northumberland Plate.
If the ground stays quick then he won’t run. If their is any “soft” in the going description then he should be near impossible to beat.
Stradivarius will still be a popular choice, but it looks like father time is catching up with him and the one that could be in the mix is the improving Coltrane.
RACE 5 – Nicholson Gin Handicap – CLASS 2
This is a Class 2 sprint handicap that will be run over 5 furlongs and is for horses aged 4 years and older.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
The aptly name Celcius looks to have a fine chance of defying a 5lb rise in the weights and he was a winner of a 16 runner handicap here at Goodwood in 2020. His last two wins have been on Good to Firm ground and he is the 9/2 favourite. Never easy backing favourites in big field handicaps but his chance is clear to see and he makes the shortlist.
Lord Riddiford’s turf mark at the end of last season was 95 and after a solid run last time from a mark of 90 when beaten just 4 lengths, the handicapper has dropped him a generous 3lbs to 87. He clearly is coming into form and is well handicapped given the fact he won this race last year from a mark of 88 and looks to have been laid out for a repeat. 12/1 looks a a very tempting price each way.
Both of the above hold strong chances, but LORD RIDDIFORD 12/1 is our main selection.
RACE 6 – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes – CLASS 2
This is a Class 2 maiden that will be run over 6 furlongs and is for horses aged 2 years old.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
This looks like an extremely hot maiden and it looks like it will be very difficult for any newcomer to win. They will need to be somethiung special with a number of runners here already having posted some top class form.
Mischief Magic hails from the Charlie Appleby yard and he finished third on debut here at Goodwood behind Royal Scotsman who has since gone on to run 3rd of 17 at Royal Ascot in the Group 2 Coventry Stakes. That is very strong form and the Godolphin horse is likely to be one of the favourites for this.
However, the one that looks more interesting is RUSSET GOLD 12/1 who at first glance did not do anything too special on debut, but he ran green and stayed on really nicely at the business end of the race. Roger Varian’s youngsters often improve for their first run and at 12/1, he looks decent each way value up against the Godolphin favourite.
RACE 7 – Coral Beaten-By-A-Length Free Bet Fillies’ Handicap – CLASS 3
This is a Class 3 handicap that will be run over 1 mile and is for “fillies only” aged 3 years and older.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
WILDERNESS GIRL 8/1 has only had the five starts for Andrew Balding and after running off an initial handicap rating of 93 on only her fourth start and finishing down the field at Royal Ascot, she put in a much improved performance next time when a staying on fourth from a revised mark of 90. With plenty of improvement still to come, she looks interesting here.
RACE 8 – World Pool EBF Fillies’ Handicap – CLASS 3
This is a Class 3 handicap that will be run over 6 furlongs and is is for “fillies only” aged 3 years and older.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A very tricky handicap to work out with plenty of these arriving in tip top form. But let’s see if we can find a few at bigger prices that may be of interest.
Crazy Luck has won her last two yet is only 3lbs higher than her last win. This big field will suit her late running style and because the margins of victory have been short, it has been difficult for the handicapper to punish her too much. She is clearly in great heart and another big run is expected.
Kidwah from the Haggas yard is likely to be one of the more fancied runners after winning her first two starts and then posting a very solid third on handicap debut from a rating of 88. The winner that day Miss Carol Ann won off a mark of 90 so Kidwah has probably run to a rating of 82. She needs to take a step forward, but after just three runs that is entirely possible from this shrewd powerful yard.
It is the Millman runner CRAZY LUCK 13/2 than gets the vote.
Conclusion
Day 1 promises some cracking action with Stradivarius and Trueshan going for Goodwood Cup glory and Kinross coming back for another crack at The Lennox Stakes.
As always, a cracking day’s racing and for punters, make sure to check out all of the best Glorious Goodwood sign up offers from all of the bookmakers and make sure that you hunt out the best place terms if you are betting in the big field handicaps, with many bookmakers going 6, 7, and 8 places.
DAY 2 – SUSSEX STAKES DAY – WEDNESDAY 27TH JULY 2022
The highlight on Day 2 at the Qatar Goodwood Festival will undoubtedly be the Group 1 Sussex Stakes where Native Trail will try to avenge his 2000 Guineas defeat by stablemate Coroebus, and we are also likely to see the Prix Du Jockey Club winner Vadeni.
Goodwood is not just about horse racing, with fashion being a large part of the whole experience. Whichever enclosure you are in, make sure to get your outfit sorted the week before at the latest.
The other Group races on Day 2 include The Oak Tree Stakes and The Molcomb for the two-year-olds.
RACE 1 – Coral Beaten-By-A-Length Free Bet Handicap – CLASS 2
This race is a Class 2 handicap run over 1 mile and 4 furlongs and is restricted to 3 year olds.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Having won his last three Secret State is sure to be popular and will surely go off as favourite here. Winner of the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot off an opening handicap mark of 93 tells us how good this horse is and off just a 7lb higher mark, this one should really prove tough to beat. However at 7/4 does he represent any value?
Inverness is a big outsider here and on form figures he does not exactly jump off the page. He won his maiden on second start and that came here at Goodwood so we know he will handle this unique track. He was outclassed in a Listed contest on his first start of 2022 and has since dropped into handicaps.
He was beaten just over four lengths in the same Ascot race won by Secret State but has since run well to finish third off a handicap rating of 87. He is 7lbs better off here and the drop in trip also looks a positive, so INVERNESS 16/1 rates an interesting each way alternative to the favourite.
RACE 2 – Whispering Angel Oak Tree Stakes (Fillies’ & Mares’ Group 3)
The Oak Tree Stakes is a 7 furlong contest restricted to fillies and mares and is open to thre year olds and older horses.
The race is often domintaed by three and four year olds, although that trend has been reversed the last two years.
The race this year will take on extra signicicance to the Royal Family as in 1981 it was named the Wedding Day Stakes to commemorate the wedding of Prince Charles to Lady Diana Spencer.
Today the name of the race is in recognition of the link between Goodwood and the Oak Tree Racing Association of California.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
2021 | Last Empire | Daniel Tudhope | Kevin Ryan |
2020 | One Master | Tom Marquand | William Haggas |
2019 | Billesdon Brook | Sean Levey | Richard Hannon Jr. |
2018 | Pretty Baby | Dane O’Neill | William Haggas |
2017 | Al Jazi | Frankie Dettori | François Rohaut |
The Oak Tree Stakes has proved a bit of a minefield for punters over the years and it is one of those races that you might want to look at some higher priced runners.
French trainer Francois Rohaut has won the race three times in the last ten years including winners at 33/1 and 12/1 so he is a trainer to watch for if making any entries.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of the Oak Tree Stakes is tough, as can be seen in the prices of some of the recent winners with favourites not having a great record. Big-priced winners in recent seasons including at odds of 33/1, 16/1 and 12/1 (twice).
So let’s take a look at some of the stats from the past ten years that might help us to pick out the winner.
- Nine of the last ten winners had run at least twice in the current season.
- Six of the last ten winners were drawn in stall 6 or lower.
- Eight of the last ten winners were rated at 100 or higher.
- Four of the last ten winners had not won a Orace in the current season.
- None of the last ten winners had won on their previous run prior to running in The Oak Tree Stakes.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Soft Whisper is definitely on an upward curve having won her last two starts, a handicap and last time out off this rating of 106 a fillies listed contest. She spent the winter racing in Dubai and the weather conditions have certainly seen her peak early. She now steps up to Group level but has to hold every chance.
Oscula finished one place in front of another of today’s runners Heredia when they met in a fillies listed contest at Sandown earlier this month. Oscula was a strong finisher on that occasion so the drop to 7 furlongs is not ideal, but she did run an even better race last time when tackling this grade and she gets the nod to come out on top from those two.
The vote though goes to SAMAHRAM 10/1. This French raider is two from three and the defeat came in a Group 3 when beaten by Place Du Carrousel who has since gone on to be placed at Group 1 level and that has franked the overall form profile of our selection nicely.
RACE 3 – Markel Molecomb Stakes (Group 3)
The Molcomb Stakes is the speed test for two year olds run over 5 furlongs.
The event is named after Molecomb House which is part of the historic Goodwood Estate and was originally built for Lady Sarah Lennox by her brother, the 3rd Duke of Richmond.
It was originally open to two-year-olds of either gender, but was then restricted to fillies in 1932. This changed once again as both genders could compete against each other from 1981.
The fillies receive a 3lb allowance and there are penalties of 5lbs for previous Group 1 and 2 winners with any Group 3 winner carrying a 3ln penalty.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Armor | Ryan Moore | Richard Hannon Jr. |
2020 | Steel Bull | Colin Keane | Michael O’Callaghan |
2019 | Liberty Beach | Jason Hart | John Quinn |
2018 | Rumble Inthejungle | Tom Queally | Richard Spencer |
2017 | Havana Grey | P. J. McDonald | Karl Burke |
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of any race at the Goodwood Festival of Racing is always tough and these speedsters make it even more difficult.
This race always seems to throw up a future potential star sprinter as it did in 2014 with Cotai Glory and in 2015 with the brilliant but ill fated Kachy, one of the fastest horses ever seen.
So let’s look at some of the trends from the past ten years that could help you to pick out the winner.
- Nine of the last ten favourites have finished in the frame, yet only two have won in that period.
- Each of the last ten winners had won at least one race that season.
- Six of the last ten winners had run at least three times that season.
- Only one of the last ten runnings have been won by a horse bigger than 8/1 in the betting.
- Six of the last ten winners were drawn in stall 7 or lower
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Rocket Rodney will be a short price favourite here and rightfully so. He finished in front of Eddies Boy in the Windsor Castle when second and that form has been given a boost with the winner Little Big Bear going on to win a Group 3 next time. Both of these have won since with Rocket Rodney winning a Listed contest at Sandown from a rating of 102, while Eddies Boy won the Weatherbys Super Sprint at Newbury of a rating of 96.
Realistically the race should revolve around these two if we focus on trends.
If we look at some bigger prices then the one that catches the eye is TRILLIUM 12/1 from the Richard Hannon yard. She was a good second of four on debut here at Goodwood behind Galeron (runs here Tuesday) and showed the benefit of that when bolting up by 4 lengths at Newbury. There is no doubting she’ll have to take another big step forward, but she gets a 3lb allowance and in a field of 8 runners, looks the soundest each way value against the two boys.
July 2022.
RACE 4 – QATAR SUSSEX STAKES (GROUP 1) (British Champions Series)
The Sussex Stakes was originally a six-furlong race for two-year-olds. It moved to its current distance of one mile in 1878 when the winner was Clocher.
Now holding Group 1 status, it is one of the leading one mile races for three-year-olds across the world. Often you’ll see horses from England, Ireland and France taking part.
The French trainers like to target their best horses for this race and we are likely to see trainers like Andre Fabre and Jean Claude Rouget having entries. Also keep an eye on any entries from Francois Rohaut.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Alcohol Free | Oisin Murphy | Andrew Balding |
2020 | Mohaather | Jim Crowley | Marcus Tregoning |
2019 | Too Darn Hot | Frankie Dettori | John Gosden |
2018 | Lightning Spear | Oisin Murphy | David Simcock |
2017 | Here Comes When | Jim Crowley | Andrew Balding |
This year is sure to see a very strong cast of runners with England, Ireland and France sure to be represented.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
This race is a very high-quality event with the speedy colts, fillies, and mares running over the mile at Goodwood. Colts have the stronger record in this race as proven by the stats over the last ten years.
- Six of the last ten winners had run at least three times that seaason.
- Trainer Andrew Balding has won two of the last ten runnings, with those coming in 2017 and 2021.
- Seven of the last ten winners were rated at 120 or higher.
- Five of the last ten favourites have won the race with three second favourites winning in that period.
- Only one running in the last ten years has had more than 9 runners.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Unfortunately we have lost a real spectacle here now that Coroebus has been declared a non runner with an injury and it leaves it wide open for the unbeaten Baaeed to notch up win number nine. With very cramped odds of 1/6 this is not really a betting race for normal punters.
However, the favourite has probably not yet met a rival with the class of ALCOHOL FREE 12/1 and after winning The July Cup last time, this one has every right to be fancied to follow the favourite home and could even spring a surprise.
RACE 5 – European Breeders Fund EBF Fillies’ Handicap – CLASS 2
This race is a Class 2 handicap run over 1 mile and 2 furlongs and is restricted to 3 year old and older fillies.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
John and Thady Gosden’s Natasha with Frankie on board look sure to attract plenty of interest. She made a nice comeback at Newmarket and although the daughter of Frankel looked one paced over that mile and a quarter, she should improve fitness wise and holds a sound chance.
Others that look of interest are Rousay and the outsider Scorpio. Rousay has been ultra consistent being placed in all four runs this season off similar marks and will surely be in the mix at the business end of the race. Scorpio is still very much unexposed and gets in here off bottom weight. Although she looks just fairly handicapped, she does look to have the chance to improve for this extra quarter of a mile after staying on over 7 furlongs and a mile in her three races to date.
Those three look solid players but the one we like is STATE OCCASION 13/2. Has to go down as very unlucky to finish fourth at Royal Ascot and was staying on nicely at the business end of the race. Has since run another nice race when second last time and runs off the same mark of 89. Another who should relish the step up in trip.
RACE 6 – British EBF Alice Keppel Fillies’ Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) – CLASS 2
The Alice Keppel Fillies Conditions Stakes is race is a Class 2 event for two year old fillies run over 5 furlongs.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Beautiful Eyes won her first two starts before finishing 4th of 15 in a listed Contest at York. That form has been given a nice boost with the third place horse Jumbeau running a cracker to finish 5th of 24 at Royal Ascot next time. Beautiful Eyes was herself a runner at Royal Ascot but was a dissappointing 15th of 16. That came in a Group 3 so dropping back down in class, she must have a sound each way chance.
The one we think is even more interesting is CRUISE 9/1 from the Richard Hannon yard. She was fourth on debut in a Class 2 fillies maiden and she must be highly thought of to have started her career there. They now go straight up in class here to Listed level. In that fillies maiden race she finished just a couple of lengths adrift of Ivory Madonna who had previously finished third at Royal Ascot. It gives the form a very strong look and Cruise must have any amount of improvement to come.
2022.
RACE 7 – World Pool Handicap – CLASS 3
This race is a Class 3 handicap run over 7 furlongs and is for 3 year-olds and older horses.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
We have to kick off with Wild Lion for Godolphin and Frankie Detorri. This one won it’s last two starts last season before making its second handicap start off a mark of 85. Ran well to be beaten less than a length and it is very surprising the handicapper has not edged the mark up a few pounds. At 5/1 this gelding has to be on the shortlist.
The Attorney rounded off last season with a couple of solid placed efforts at Newmarket but has been unable to win this season. However, that does not tell the full story and he was an excellent 5th of 18 in the Bunbury Cup at Newmarket on his last start off a mark of 94 and was runner up here at Goodwood three starts back. He remains on the same mark of 94 and is sure to be competitive.
The first two we have mentioned are quite short for such a competitive handicap and the one we like at a fancy price is TITAN ROCK 25/1. The form figures do not look too inspiring at first look, but when we dig a bit deeper we can see some nice pieces of form. Has finished 1st and 4th on two runs here at Goodwood so we know he will handle the track and his last time out 9th of 18 was a solid effort beaten just 5 1/2 lengths in The Bunbury Cup and the handicapper has dropped him a handy couple of pounds.
Conclusion
Day 2 promises some cracking action with Baaeed looking likely to continue his winning streak now that Coroebus has been pulled out of The Sussex Stakes. Plenty of decent sized fields to get stuck into for punters and it is sure to be an exciting day.
As always a cracking day’s racing and for punters, make sure to check out all of the best Glorious Goodwood sign up offers from all of the bookmakers and make sure that you hunt out the best place terms if you are betting in the big field handicaps, with many bookmakers going 6, 7, and 8 places.
DAY 3 – LADIES DAY – THURSDAY 28TH JULY 2022
Ladies Day at Glorious Goodwood is celebrated in a number of ways, and of course, the racing is highlighted by the Group 1 Nassau Stakes.
But we also have the charity race which is the Magnolia Cup where women from all walks of life take part in a racing event which promotes full diversity and inclusion, something racing is promoting more and more.
The most famous winner of the race is Khadijah Mellah who won the race in 2019. Her story was depicted in a documentary called “Riding The Dream” in 2019.
Of course fashion is another big part of Ladies Day and Goodwood host lots of contests through the meeting including a “Best Dressed” on Ladies Day.
RACE 1 – CORAL KINCSEM HANDICAP – CLASS 2
The Kincsem Handicap is a Class 2 event run over 1 mile and 2 furlongs and is restricted to 3 year olds.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Sir Michael Stoute has already been on the scoreboard on the opening day and Migdam is a highly progressive colt who has won his last three. Came back this season to win a handicap off a mark of 89 and the 6lb rise may well underestmate this son os Zelzal and he ioos likely to go off as favourite for this.
Roger Varian always seems to house these unexposed three year olds and Asaassi is another interesting type who also won on handicap bow at York when defying a mark of 86. The handicapper has not punished him too harshly for that with a 4lb rise and the horse that he beat at York Highland Premiere has backed the form up with two solid placed finishes that suggest Asaassi’s new mark is about spot on.
The first two mentioned are from powerful yards and price accordingly, so looking at something a bit bigger in the market and the one that jumps off the page is the Charlie Hills trained WANEES 9/1. Still unexposed after 5 runs and following a hat trick of wins, took his form to a new level when finishing 6th of 30 in the Brittania Handicap at Royal Ascot. He won his opening handicap off a rating of 84 and the last run was from a mark of 91. He has been edged up a couple of pounds which is totally fair and the step up trip looks sure to bring about another jolt of improvement.
RACE 2 – THE RICHMOND STAKES (GROUP 2)
The Richmond Stakes is a Group 2 event for the two year old colts and geldings run over 6 furlongs and is a quite unique race in that it is a race not restricted to “entires” (horses that have not been gelded)
The race has a long history and is one where we don’t often see a big priced winner.
Several winners of the Richmond Stakes have gone on to win one or more of the following year’s Classics and it is a race highly targeted by top two year old trainers like Aiden O’Brien and Clive Cox.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Asymmetric | Martin Harley | Alan King |
2020 | Supremacy | Adam Kirby | Clive Cox |
2019 | Golden Horde | Adam Kirby | Clive Cox |
2018 | Land Force | Ryan Moore | Aidan O’Brien |
2017 | Barraquero | William Buick | Brian Meehan |
The Richmond Stakes does not usually draw a very big field with only two of the last ten runnings having more than 9 runners.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of any two year old race at this meeting can be tough, but the stats for The Richmond Stakes make it a bit easier as there are some very key trends to take notice of.
Just the top two trends will help you narrow the field.
- Only a single horse outside the top three in the betting has won in the last ten years.
- Adam Kirby and Clive Cox have teamed up to win two of the last three runnings.
- Clive Cox and Richard Hannon have won four of the last ten runnings between them.
- Each of the last ten winners had won at least once in the current season with seven of those winning at least two times.
- Seven of the last ten winners had run at least three times prior to running at Glorious Goodwood.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A fascinating race even though we have just nine runners and the once run once won Al Karrar looks an interesting contender after winning on debut when being unfancied in the betting. There was no fluke about that win and the form has been franked nicely since. The third in that race has since gone on to put up two very solid runs and the fourth horse Tarjeeh has since come out and won a 14 runner maiden at Newbury.
Chateau brings some very stronmg form to the table and is likely to be well fancied by many and will be around the 3/1 mark. He was 4th of 24 in The Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot and has since followed that with a win in Listed company at Newbury. Now rated 104, he is clearly progressing in the right direction and holds a very strong chance here.
The above two hold solid chances but it is difficult to get away from the favourite ROYAL SCOTSMAN 6/4 who remains unexposed and has the form to win this. Won on his second start here at Goodwood and the followed up with a 3rd of 17 at Royal Ascot when just in behind Persian Force who finished in second. That rival has franked the form, winning the Group 2 July stakes at Newmarket from a rating of 108 and that would put Royal Scotsman on a mark of 107. With more to come he looks a solid bet.
RACE 3 – John Pearce Racing Gordon Stakes (GROUP 3)
The Gordon Stakes is a Group 3 event for three year olds only and is run over the classic Derby distance of a mile and a half and we can maybe expect to see horses like Hoo Ya Mal, Westover, and Masekela from the 2022 Epsom Derby taking part here.
The race is named after the Duke of Gordon, another of the Dukedoms held by the owner of the Goodwood Estate, the Duke of Richmond.
The race was formed in 1902 and has been restricted to 3 year olds since one year later in 1903.
The race is often used as a trial for the St Leger, so lets take a look at the race history from a stats perspective to see if we can pinpoint a potential winner.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Ottoman Emperor | Ben Coen | Johnny Murtagh |
2020 | Mogul | Ryan Moore | Aidan O’Brien |
2019 | Nayef Road | Silvestre de Sousa | Mark Johnston |
2018 | Cross Counter | William Buick | Charlie Appleby |
2017 | Crystal Ocean | Ryan Moore | Sir Michael Stoute |
This race is one targeted by trainers who have had runners in The Derby who might not have had the speed to win that race but had shown strong stamina. The start of this race is in a valley (or bowl) in the middle of the course so high draws are also beneficial.
Let’s look at some stats from the last decade that may help in picking out a potential winner for the 2022 renewal.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of any three year old only race can be a tough task but this is one race where you use trainer stats to your advantage with three trainers dominating in the last ten years with a 70% strike rate between them.
- Three of the last ten winners have been trained by Sir Michael Stoute.
- Six of the last ten winners have been either the second or third favourite.
- Nine of the last ten winners had run at least three times in the current season.
- Only two of the last ten runnings has been won by a horse priced at bigger odds than 9/2.
- Only one horse rated less than 100 has won the race in the last ten years.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Plenty of Group 1 form represented here by The Derby second and fourth Hoo Ya Mal and Masekela. There is no doubting that Hoo Ya Mal’s form is the best on show and as that came from a rating of 105, he has to be respected. His revised mark of 116 would be more than good enough to win this but that looks very inflated. Saying that he looks the most likely winner and is fair enough value as a win bet at 4/1.
Trying to find something against the top two in the betting is not easy but the one that is totally unexposed is JACK DARCY 12/1. This son of Gleneagles trained by Paul Cole has already shown smart form in two wins and the step up in distance looks ideal. On his last run he won easily by over 4 lengths and it was a further 6 lengths back to the third. The second in that race Special Envoy has since come out and won from a rating of 92 meaning Jack Darcy is likely to be rated in the region of 102 and even marginal improvement will put him right in the mix. Looks excellent each way value.
RACE 4 – Qatar Nassau Stakes (Fillies’ And Mares’ Group 1) (British Champions Series)
Always an interesting race as we’ll see some of the best fillies and mares in training. The Nassau is run over a mile and a quarter so it means you’ll get horses stepping up in distance from a a mile and horse dropping in distance from a mile and a half.
Horses that have run well in the 1000 Guineas or The Oaks usually run here in The Nassau Stakes.
The conditions of this race make it tough for the older horses as they have to give the three year olds 9lbs.
The race is run over two furlongs further than the Guineas, so a mile and a quarter. It often sees a horse that is well fancied in the betting coming out on top, even though favourites have a poor record the last ten years.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Lady Bowthorpe | Kieran Shoemark | William Jarvis |
2020 | Fancy Blue | Ryan Moore | Donnacha O’Brien |
2019 | Deirdre | Oisin Murphy | Mitsuru Hashida |
2018 | Wild Illusion | William Buick | Charlie Appleby |
2017 | Winter | Ryan Moore | Aidan O’Brien |
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of the Nassau can be tricky. Favourites do not have a great record but horses near the top of the market are still popular and show up well in our ten year race trends. If you are the kind of punter who likes to use statistics and trends to make your selections, then the last ten years throw up some pretty strong stats towards the horses at the top of the betting market.
- Five of the last ten winners and non favourites were returned at 11/2 or less with three favourites also winning during that period.
- Jockey William Buick has won 3 of the last 10 runnings of the race and is sure to have a strong ride for Godolphin this year.
- Seven of the last ten runnings have been won by a three year old.
- Eight of the last ten runnings have been won by a horse rated at least 111, so a genuine Group class horse tends to win the Nassau Stakes.
- Six of the last ten winners had run at least four times during the current season.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Nashwa is an odds on favourite for this after her gutsy Prix De Diane victory last time and she is undoubtedly a very talented filly and Group 1 performer. However, she represent absolutely no value here from a betting perspective. She will likely win but the formline of the Oaks when she finished just a length and a quarter in front of Concert Hall does not validate the difference in prices.
Dreamloper should not be underestimated here. She won her two previous starts including the Group 1 Prix D’Ispahan off a rating of 109. Her last start at The Curragh where she finished behind Concert Hall was a bit dissappointing and she can put in a better display today.
But a confident each way vote goes to CONCERT HALL 12/1. Why she is such a big price is a mystery. Her last run came in the US where she was trapped out wide and lost tactical position turning in, but closed strongly and she is only rated around a length worse than Nashwa.
RACE 5 – Jaeger-Lecoultre Nursery – CLASS 2
This race is a Class 2 Nursery run over 7 furlongs and is restricted to 2 year olds.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A tricky nursery to work out with plenty of unexposed types and Self Praise looks one that could fit the bill. This one has been ultra consistent since finishing 4th on debut, the horse has not been out of the first two in five subsequent runs, breaking the maiden tag last time from a rating of 87. The handicapper has reassessed the mark and gets in here off 86 so his chance is clear.
Seductive Power has had the 3 runs and has improved each time culminating in breaking the maiden tag last time out. The fifth in that race Chaldean has since gone on to win next time giving the form a very solid look and at around 6/1, Seductive Power looks to hold a strong chance.
Those two are both strongly fancied but the one we like is X J RASCAL 8/1. This one won on debut and followed that up with a very solid fourth next time. He was drawn poorly that day and the second Wen Moon has since come out and won. He was giving that rival 6 lbs so it was a fine effort and we can expect further improvement today.
RACE 6 – WORLD POOL HANDICAP – class 3
This race is a Class 3 handicap event run over 5 furlongs and is restricted to 3 year olds only.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Le Beau Garcon seemed to find the six furlongs too far last time out but it was still a strong run and the drop to 5 furlongs looks a smart move here. Has been strong over this distance in both wins and also when staying on on seasonal debut at Musselburgh.
Sir Henry Cotton has run a couple of nice races here at Goodwood and although he looks exposed there seems to have been some improvement lately and if able to continue that progression then he should be in the shake up and looks a fair price at 9/1.
The strong vote goes to SWAYZE 6/1 whose form has been on a steady rise in recent runs. Was a very good 7th of 27 at Royal Ascot off a mark of 83 and then followed that up with another solid run at Haydock when holding off Sir Henry Cotton.
RACE 7 – CLASS 2 FILLIES maiden
This is a Class 2 event and is a @Fillies Only@ maiden run 7 furlongs and is restricted to 2 year olds.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A big field fillies maiden with many coming here first time out. The betting will point to any newcomers that might be fancied, but based on form there are couple that might be flying under the radar a little including both Barlow Barlow and Enola Grey.
Barlow Barlow finished a very solid second first time up at Yarmouth and the form has been franked with the winner Liberation Day going in again, albeit off a mark of 77. It is clear that Barlow Barlow will need to improve but that should be a give considering she was running against a much more experienced rival and at 16/1 that looks a very fair price.
Of even more interest is Enola Grey who has finished third on both starts to date. Those runs have come against some promising opponents and her last run behind Candle Of Hope has been franked with that one winning again (now unbeaten in 2 starts). On her debut she was third here at Goodwood and the winner Bet Me has since gone on to finish a strong fourth in a Listed contest at Sandown giving the form a strong look.
These two have very decernt chances but the selection has to go to SHE’S HOT 11/2 who looks way overpriced here. Clearly well thought of and was expected to win on debut when well punted but had to settle for second spot. Connections clearly expected more and she ran next in the Group 3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot where she finished 9th of the 16 runners. Beaten just 5 1/2 lengths, that was a very solid run and this is a big drop in class and she’ll be difficult to keep out of the frame.
Conclusion
It really is a cracking days racing where we see some of the top Group class fillies and mares taking part in The Nassau Stakes and the potential Derby stars of 2023 strutting their stuff in The Richmond Stakes. Throw in some quality listed and big field handicap races and it has the recipe for a cracker.
Don’t forget to find the best value prices and place terms by checking out the bonus offers and best Glorious Goodwood sign up offers from the top betting firms.
DAY 4 – KING GEORGE DAY – FRIDAY 29TH JUly 2022
Day 4 is highlighted by the Group 2 event which is The King George Stakes run over 6 furlongs where we see some of the top sprinters. The card on Day 4 also has two Group 3 races for punters to get stuck into. The Thoroughbred Stakes and The Glorious Stakes.
The Thoroughbred Stakes is run over a mile and is for three year olds only, whilst The Glorious Stakes is one of the race for horses aged four years and older and is run over a mile and a half.
RACE 1 – CORAL goodwood handicap – class 2
This is a Class 2 event and is run over 2 miles and 5 furlongs and is open 3 year olds and older horses.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A cracking stayers handicap and the real intriguing horse is Baasem who is now trained by Dr Richard Newland. This one was formerly a classy inmate of the Owen Burrows yard but picked up an injury and was see only recently when coming back on the first run for the Newland stable over hurdles when running second. Previously rated at 90 on the level and goes from a very interesting mark of 80 today. EW chances.
Ian Williams Hydroplane was a winner last time out from a mark of 76 and goes today from a 6lbs higher mark. That might look harsh at first glance but hi hurdles form suggests it is a fair enough assessment from the handicap and he is clearly in form. At 10/1, he looks decent EW value.
The one we like though is another jumping trainers inmate and that is Gary Moore’s MAKE MY DAY 8/1. Was really disappointing last time at Ascot off a 1 lb lower mark but had previously run well here at Goodwood when 2nd of 7. Has won from a mark of 90 so todays handicap rating should be within his reach. Has had two runs here at Goodwood and has won one and finished runner up in the other, clearly likes the track and a fair EW bet in this opener.
RACE 2 – Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (Group 3)
Another very competitive Group 3 for three year olds only run over a mile.
This race can be a significant betting race as there are penalties for previous Group race winners with Group 2 winners having to carry a 7lb penalty with previous Group 3 winners carrying a 4lb penalty. It is also important to note that filliesreceive a 3lb allowance.
Horse near the top of the market tend to perform well here as you can see from the trends below the winners table.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Baaeed | Jim Crowley | William Haggas |
2020 | Tilsit | Ryan Moore | Charlie Hills |
2019 | Duke of Hazzard | P. J. McDonald | Paul Cole |
2018 | Regal Reality | Frankie Dettori | Michael Stoute |
2017 | Beat The Bank | Ryan Moore | Andrew Balding |
Always a strong Group 3 which tends to have small fields, which is one reason why those shorter in the betting haver a good record.
This race really needs a horse that has the speed to lay up close to the pace and has the ability to contain a continued burst of speed through thye final two furlongs like last years winner Baaeed who will likely be competing in one of the Group 1 events during the week and will be more or less impossible to beat.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes is usually a straightforward task for punters as favorites have a very good record.
Let’s take a look at trends as a way of narrowing down the field.
- Seven of the last ten winners had run at least three times during the current season.
- Each of the last ten winners had previously run over a mile at least once before.
- Five of the last ten runnings have been won by the favourite.
- Only one filly has managed to win the race in the last ten years.
- Only one of the last tenm winnersd was rated less than 100 (a very strong statistic)
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
This looks a straight shoot out between Bayside Boy and Berkshire Shadow. They were only seperated by a neck last time and that matched their ratings with Berkshire Shadow rated 111 and Bayside Boy rated 112.
Bayside Boy had the worse trip of the two in that race and although this should be close, it is BAYSIDE BOY 9/4 who gets the narrow vote to turn that form around and show the ratings are spot on.
RACE 3 – CORAL GOLDEN MILE HANDICAP
The Golden Mile is a Class 2 event and is run over 1 mile and is open to 3 year olds and older horses.
Over the years we have seen some very good horses winning the race including Belgian Bill who in 2015 won the race due to a disqualification of So Beloved.
Mark Johnston is one trainer to keep a close eye on as he has an outstanding record in this race.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Maydanny | Jim Crowley | Mark Johnston |
2020 | Prompting | Harry Bentley | David O’Meara |
2019 | Beat Le Bon | Pat Dobbs | Richard Hannon |
2018 | Seniority | Ryan Moore | William Haggas |
2017 | Master The World | Ryan Moore | David Elsworth |
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
We already mentioned a few stats above but let’s look at some of the stats in a bit more depth and see if the trends from the past ten years can help you to pick out the winner.
- Mark Johnston has trained two of the last ten winners and six overall since 1987.
- Ryan Moore has ridden three of the last ten winners with those all coming in successive years in 2016, 2017 and 2018.
- Only two of the last ten runnings have been won by the favourite.
- Since the race began, 64.5% of winners were either four or five year olds.
- Eight of the last ten winners returned at odds of less than 9/1.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Montassib looks sure to be very popular here after two cracking runs in big field handicaps, but the assessor seems to have his handicap mark just about right and although the step up in trip will suit, hell still need to improve to win here. That is not impossible, and he looks decent value at around the 10/1 mark.
Two others that have very solid chances are Rebel Territory and Jimi Hendrix. Rebel Territory has improved rapidly over the last year and won at this meeting last year from amark of 82. He has since gone on to win his last two with his last victory coming at Sandown off a career high mark of 93. Up another 5lbs but a big chance in his current mood.
Jimi Hendrix looks to hold an outstanding chance having had just six runs but has already achieved a very high level of form. His 3rd of 30 in The Britannia Stakes on only his fifth start was a monumental effort and he showed he is going the right way by winning next time. He has a 3lb penalty but could still be ahead of the handicapper. Serious chance at around 8/1.
However, we have to tie our ribbo to the mast and at a bigger price the selection is AUSTRIAN THEORY 18/1. His form has overall been in and out but his last two runs have shown he is in top form and he is back to his last winning mark of 94 after failing to carry a 5lb penalty last time. In top form and considering he was running well in much better races last season when rated 104, he is clearly very well treated on his best form.
RACE 4 – KING GEORGE QATAR STAKES (GROUP 2)
The big sprint over 5 furlongs for the top Group 2 level sprinters and always a fascinating race to see the top 5 furlong horses blazing there way down the straight five furlongs at Goodwood.
The race has been dominated by the Charlie Hills trained Battaash between 2017 and 2020 but he is now retired and it means we’ll have a very open race with the sprint division wide open currently.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Suesa | William Buick | Francois Rohaut |
2020 | Battaash | Jim Crowley | Charles Hills |
2019 | Battaash | Jim Crowley | Charles Hills |
2018 | Battaash | Jim Crowley | Charles Hills |
2017 | Battaash | Jim Crowley | Charles Hills |
We have mentioned various trainers throughout this page but one to take note of if having any runners is last years winning trainer Francois Rohaut who has a good record with his runners at Goodwood.
This year we are sure to see a decent sized field and probably more fillies will be taking part as they get a 3lb allowance from the boys.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
We already mentioned a few stats above but let’s look at some of the stats in a bit more depth and see if the trends from the past ten years can help you to pick out the winner.
- Only three of the last ten winners were three year olds.
- Only two of the last ten winners have been drawn higher than stall 7. Stalls 1, 4 and 5 have each had two winners in the last ten years.
- Eight of the last ten winners have been rated higher than 110.
- In the last ten years the highest priced winner was 8/1.
- Six of the last ten winners were aged 5 years old or higher.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A quality Group 2 and this revolves around the massive improver Raasel who continues to defy the assessor after winning 3 of the last 4 including a career best in a Group 3 at Sandown last time. Clearly in great heart but this step up in class against some genuine Group 1 performers may be a test too far and at 4/1 does he really represent value?
Acklam Express was third in the Kings Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot and that is the best piece of form on offer here, however he does have that tendency to find one too good.
The selection here is LAZULI 6/1 who has to carry a 3lb penalty for a previous Group success. He was well behind Acklam Express in The Kings Stand but that was his seasonal debut and had previously beaten that rival in Dubai back in February. That 3lb penalty makes it tough but he should come on nicely for his seasonal debut and can confirm the form with Acklam Express.
RACE 5 – L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate Glorious Stakes (Group 3)
The event is relatively new in racing terms with the first running back in 1979 when it was titled the Alycidon Stakes. Alcydion was a successful stayer who had won the famouis Goodwood Cup back in 1949.
It was originally a conditions race for horses aged three or older, it then was raised in status and became a Listed event back in 1985.
The title of the race was changed to the Alycidon Glorious Stakes in 1987 and then got its current name, The Glorious Stakes in 1989. The age for horses entering was raised to four in 1993.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Passion And Glory | Oisin Murphy | Saeed bin Suroor |
2020 | Pablo Escobarr | Tom Marquand | William Haggas |
2019 | Desert Encounter | Jamie Spencer | David Simcock |
2018 | Mirage Dancer | Ryan Moore | Sir Michael Stoute |
2017 | Poet’s Word | Ryan Moore | Sir Michael Stoute |
We are sure to see a strong entry from Sir Michael Stoute and you need to take note if he has an entry ridden by Ryan Moore. This trainer/jockey combo have a great record when teaming up in this race.
Some of the horses that we could see taking part this year include: Hukum, Pyledriver and Manobo
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
The Glorious Stakes form is usually very reliable, with favourites having performed well over the last ten years.
So let’s check some of the trends from the past ten years that could help you to pick out the winner.
- Trainer Sir Michael Stoute and jockey Ryan Moore have teamed up to win this three times in the last ten years.
- The favourite has finished in the first three in nine of the last ten runnings, including 5 wins, 3 seconds and a third place.
- Seven of the last ten runnings were won by a horse that had run at least four times that season.
- The last ten runnings have been won by a horse no bigger than 11/2 in the betting.
- Eight of the last ten winners had a rating of 110 or higher.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A really competitive Group 3 and the top one Max Vega looks interesting dropping back down in distance. Clearly was outclassed last time and is best judged on his previous efforts over this trip. Won at this level two starts back and has very strong each way claims at around 10/1.
Fancy Man comes here in very good nick having run very well to finish 5th of 17 in the Old Newton Cup when carrying 9st 12lbs. That was a very good effort and his previous 5th of 8 in The Magnolia Stakes when not beaten far was over a trip far too short and he is another with strong each way claims.
Our main selection here though is REGAL REALITY 6/1 who has some really strong form at Listed level on his last two starts. He has tended to be slowly away but has been staying on strongly over a mile and a quarter so the step up in trip looks a major plus. Ryan Moore rides for Michael Stoute and this one appeals as really good value ahead of the likely favourite Rebels Romance.
RACE 6 – Coral Beaten-By-A-Length Free Bet Nursery – class 2
This is a Class 2 event and is run over 6 furlongs and is open to 2 year olds only.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Paddy’s Day looks to be improving nicely and although he was only 10th of 17 on his second start at Royal Ascot, that came in a race where the form has worked out very well, with the runner up Persian Force going on to win off a mark of 108. Paddys day was around 6 lengths behind that rival which would give him a mark of around 90 (official mark is 89) He gets 3lbs from the 92 rated Bolt Action so holds a good chance and is nicely priced at 12/1.
One that looks a bit exposed after 4 runs is Silencer, but looking at the form a little closer, he finished just half a length behind Bolt Action at Ascot and is now 4lb better off which would give him the edge and he has since run a good second after missing the break at Chester. Another priced up at 12/1 and a solid EW chance.
Normally these big field nurseries look competitive, but a strong choice here is BOLT ACTION 3/1 who although might seem to have work to do to confirm the form with a couple of these from Royal Ascot, his run there when still green and inexperienced means he is likely to step forward 5-7lbs and he should prove very difficult to beat.
RACE 7 – Oliver Brown Handicap – class 3
This is a Class 3 event and is run over 1 mile and 3 furlongs and is open to 3 year olds only.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
Night Of Luxury is not going to be one of Godolphins superstars by any stretch, but he is highly consistent and after winning last time off a mark of 78 he has been raised 6lbs. However, he now steps up in trip and that is likely to bring about more improvement and he’ll be tough to keep out of the frame.
Highland Premiere is another very consistent type and he has been in the frame on his last three starts and having Frankie in the saddle is a big plus. At 10/1 he is another that should prove decent EW value.
Those two have solid chances but at a bigger price, the selection is LE FORBAN 16/1. George Bakers gelding took a big step up in class last time and was not disgraced when finishing 5th of 15 off a mark of 83 when hampered and then staying on. He goes from the same mark today and an extra furlong looks right up his street.
Conclusion
Another tremendous day of racing and although the King George Stakes takes centre stage, The Glorious Stakes should be a very competitive race with most of the big stables being represented.
DAY 5 – STEWARDS CUP DAY – SATURDAY 30TH JULY 2022
The final day of the meeting is always one of the best of the week and features one of the most valuable handicaps in the racing calendar in Europe.
The Stewards Cup is run over 6 furlongs and regularly attracts a field of up to 30 runners. It is race that is known to throw up sprinting superstars of the future.
The Stewards Cup has a long history and in the decade following 1830 the senior steward at Goodwood would present an annual cup to the winner of a race of his choosing. This choice varied each year, and the trophy was awarded for races of up to one and a half miles. A perpetual race for the Stewards’ Cup over a sprint distance of 6 furlongs was founded nceived by George Bentinck, a lord in 1839, and the running took place the following year.
RACE 1 – British E.B.F. EBF Maiden Stakes – class 2
This is a Class 2 maiden event for colts and geldings run over 7 furlongs and is open 2 year olds only.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
This looks another strong maiden and the Alice Haynes trained Playuskyblues looks an interesting debutante and will likely prove a popular betting option for all of you Coventry City fans. The stables two year olds have been in solid form so this one could be interesting as an each way alternative to the two likely market leaders.
Classic from the Richard Hannon yard ran a cracking race first time up and the form has been strongly franked with the first,second, and third all running well next time. Plus the fifth in the race Captain Cuddles won this week. The form is very strong and this one deserves to be a short price favourite and will be very tough to beat.
At better value though, our main selection is THE FOXES 3/1, yes another football related named horse and one the Leicester City fans might like. Forgetting about picking horses out by name, this one ran really well on debut when 4th of 14 but was outclassed next time at Royal Ascot without being disgraced and gets a narrow vote.
RACE 2 – CORAL STEWARDS SPRINT HANDICAP
This is a Class 2 event and is run over 6 furlongs and is open 3 year olds and older horses.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
We have to start off with the highly progressive Lethal Levi who is running out of his skin and could well go in again, but he represents no value at 7/4 and we’ll look elsewhere for our main selection.
MOKAATIL 10/1 is highly consistent and after finishing 4th of 20 on his last start from a rating of 87, the handicapper has been very fair in dropping him a pound in the ratings. He was a good third here at Goodwood three starts back from a mark of 82 and was a creditable 9th of 27 at this meeting last year off a mark of 88 so he is still nicely treated and should be tough to keep out of the frame today.
Others with sound each way chances include Dream Composer and Mitrosonfire.
RACE 3 – CORAL summer handicap – class 2
Th e Summer Handicap is a Class 2 event and is run over 1 mile and 6 furlongs and is open to 3 year olds and older horses.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A cracking handicap and a difficult puzzle to solve with Bague D’or and Soapy Stevens having very solid claims and it woould be no surprise if either of those went past the post in pole position.
But looking at the form in a bit more detail we have picked out a couple here of greater interest.
Gold Maze does not jump off the page at first glance but a close look at his form show him to be very well handicapped at present. It was not a bad run when 10th of 18 at Royal Ascot last time and this step up in trip looks sure to suit. Had run nicely on previous start when 5th of 16 again at Ascot in May and that came from a rating of 95. The handicapper has dropped the horse 2lbs which is fair, but it is important to point out that this horse was running from handicap marks of 102 in 2020 and at around the 40/1 mark, that is big value.
We have mentioned a few here but the main selection is VALLEY FORGE 5/1 who is very lightly raced for a four year old and probably put in a career best last time when 7th of 20 behind Trueshan in the Northumberland Plate. He was 7/2 that day and travelled like the winner only to weaken inside the final furlong and this drop back to a mile and three quarters looks ideal. The handicapper has left him on a mark of 93 which is just 4lbs higher than his win at Haydock two starts ago and he looks a very solid bet.
RACE 4 – QATAR LILLIE LANGTRY STAKES (GrOUP 2)
The Lilly Langtry Stakes is a Group 2 event for fillies and mares and is run over a distance of 1 mile and 6 furlongs.
The race has a fascinating history in that it is a relatively new race having been established in 2003, and it was initially titled the Gladness Stakes. It was named after Gladness who was a highly successful that won the Goodwood Cup. It was originally a Listed race but was renamed and given Group 3 status in 2004.
It was then named after the famous Lillie Langtry, a British actress who was a mistress of King Edward VII.
Langtry loved her horse racing and owned the winner of the 1899 Goodwood Cup Merman.
As a woman in those days, she was not allowed to register the horse under her own name and used the pseudonym Mr Jersey in reference to hir birth place.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Wonderful Tonight | William Buick | David Menuisier |
2020 | Enbihaar | Jim Crowley | John Gosden |
2019 | Enbihaar | Jim Crowley | John Gosden |
2018 | Pilaster | David Egan | Roger Varian |
2017 | Endless Time | William Buick | Charlie Appleby |
This race is targeted at fillies and mares aged three years and older. The three year olds carry 8st 6lbs and the four year olds and older carry 9st 6lbs.
This is very tough race for three year olds to win as they are coming up against older and stronger horses.
Also the distance of one mile six furlongs is an extreme stamina test for three year old fillies.
Let’s see how the trends below back up that theory and look how you might be able to pick the winner using the ten year trends.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of any race involving fillies and mares is tough, especially with different age groups. Yes, the three year olds are usually unexposed but it takes a very good one to win this race.
Let’s check out some of the trends from the past ten years that might help you to pick out the winner.
- Only two from the last ten runnings have been won by a three year old.
- In the last ten years, seven of the winners have been rated at 108 or higher.
- Six of the last ten favourites have won the race.
- Only one of the last ten runnings has been won by a horse at double figures in the market. That was 11/1 shot Simple Verse back in 2015.
- Trainer John Gosden (now trains jointly with son Thady) has won three of the last ten runnings of the race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
This fillies Group contest clearly revolves around two horses, Sea La Rosa and Emily Dickinson and they are very difficult to split.
Sea La Rosa was a strong second last time behind Free Wind in an eventful race at Haydock, but she might have been a little lucky there as the winner Free Wind and the eventual third Eshaada had a barging match on the rail while Sea La Rosa did not suffer any interference. It was still a good performance and she look like going off favourite for this at around 6/4.
The three year old crop are represented by Aiden O’Brien’s Emily Dickinson who was a decent fourth in the Irish Oaks when beaten just 3 1/2 lengths. She looks to have a bit to find but does get a big weight for age allowance and she can come out on top in the battle of the top two.
Although the winner is likely to come from one of these two, we think there is some real value with FORBEARANCE 16/1 who has already shown herself a classy mare and she was 5th of 12 last time when behind Emily Dickinson by around 6 lengths but did give that rival 17lbs. That will be 12lbs today and although that is not enough to bridge the gap, the feeling is that Jessica Harrington’s horse might have just been coming to hand based on that run and can get much closer today at an each way price.
RACE 5 – CORAL STEWARDS CUP
This six furlong dash is one of the most exciting races of the week with 28 runners hurtling down the straight at Goodwood. It is known to be one of the biggest betting races of the week.
It is not a bad race for favourites considering the size of the field, but regular big priced winners make it tough for punters, but on the other hand rewarding if you can nail the winner.
Below you can see the last five winners of the race.
winning year | horse | jockey | trainer |
---|---|---|---|
2021 | Commanche Falls | Connor Beasley | Michael Dods |
2020 | Summerghand | Daniel Tudhope | David O’Meara |
2019 | Khaadem | Jim Crowley | Charles Hills |
2018 | Gifted Master | Jason Watson | Hugo Palmer |
2017 | Lancelot Du Lac | Frankie Dettori | Dean Ivory |
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
Trying to pick the winner of the Stewards Cup is like trying to solve a game of Cluedo, there are just so many lines of form and clues to sift through. However, it is a riddle all punters love to try and solve.
Let’s look at some of the trends from the past ten years that could help you to pick out the winner.
- Seven of the last ten winners have carried more than 9 stone to victory.
- Only 3 three year olds have won in the last ten years. (that stat extends to 3in the last 20 years).
- No trainer has won the race more than once in the last ten years.
- The biggest-priced winner in the last ten years was Lancelot Du Lac at 25/1 ridden by Frankie Detorri, who has won the race twice during the last 10 years.
- Only one horse aged 7 years or older has won the race in the last ten years (This stat extends to 27 years)
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
28 runners are due to go to post for the Stewards Cup and as always it is a tricky puzzle to solve.
A couple that look interesting at bigger prices are Batwan and Tinto. Batwan won twice at Meydan during the winter and showed his well being with a fine second last time. The French raider has some very solid form and may be underestimated by the bookmakers here at 33/1.
Tinto is another big priced (28/1) runner that could run better than his odds suggest. Comes from last years winning yard and has been running particularly well and won two on the bounce before a fine third last time. Has been dropped a pound after that last run and is one who is sure to appreciate the strong pace.
Makanah is one of the most consistent horses in this race and has run well without winning this season, finishing in the frame on all five starts including the last two from the same mark of 102. At 18/1 he looks sure to be in the shake up.
It is always tough to make a single selection in a filed this big but the narrow vote goes to SUNMMERGHAND 14/1 who has put in a couple of strong recent efforts. Those have coincided with a drop in the handicap and after being at a high of 111 last season he is now down to a mark of 100. The handicapper has been lenient in dropping him a further pound after an excellent 5th of 26 last time and he just looks the best handicapped horse in the race.
RACE 6 – Medallia Handicap
This is a Class 2 event and is run over 7 furlongs and is open to 3 year olds only.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A ten runner handicap but this looks to rest between the two improvers Koy Koy and Spirit Of Nguru.
Koy Koy is trained by George Boughey and after breaking his maiden last season his first run this year came off a very high opening mark of 90 where he finished runner up at Chester. He was even better next time at Royal Ascot when on only his fifth start he finished 10th of 30 in the Brittania Stakes beaten less than 6 lengths. That was a great performance for one so inexperienced and he showed the benefit of that when winning last time. Now rated 95, he should be in the thick of the action.
It was a tough call between the two of them but the vote goes to SPIRIT OF NGURU 9/2 who is another lightly raced type. He came back with a strong second first time back when attempting to give 9lbs to Zero Carbon who has now notched up a hat trick of wins. The form looks very strong and the Haggas trained inmate can take this.
RACE 7 – SINGLETON handicap
This is a Class 3 handicap and is run over 1 mile and 1 furlong and is open 3 year olds and older horses.
10 YEAR RACE TRENDS
No historical trends are available for this race.
RACE ANALYSIS & SELECTIONS
A cracking race to finish with and its fascinating that Kim Bailey is dropping Ajero his hurdler down in distance after a fine effort to finish second at Royal Ascot. There have to be question marks as to if he has the pace for this. It is sure to be strongly run and that may play into his hands. Highly consistent and sure to be in the frame here.
General Lee was a highly progressive type last season, so it was disappointing that he ran poorly on his seasonal bow at Doncaster back in March. It’s possible he may have needed that run and Paul Cole’s horses have run well this week and he may well bounce back.
The selection is KITSUNE POWER 9/1 who has been very progressive this season, winning from a mark of 73 and then again off of 80 two starts back. He was a little disappointing next time up at Royal Ascot but that may have been down to inexperience of a big field. He is well worth another chance in a less competitive race.
Conclusion
A tremendous mix of racing on the final day at the 2022 Qatar Goodwood Festival and The Stewards Cup will surely be the highlight.
Make sure to check out all of the bookmaker offers here at Ontheballbets and make sure to look for the bookmakers paying 6,7 and 8 places on the mega competitive Stewards Cup.
The Qatar Goodwood Festival Is One Of The Biggest Horse Racing Meetings In The World
Although there are many big meetings at weekends and during the season within the flat racing calendar, it is this late July early August summer spectacle that is known the world over for its blazers and boaters and its Pims and Lemonade cocktails.
Glorious Goodwood as it is affectionately known, with its patronage and long history from the Duke of Richmond and the Goodwood Estate means that every owner, trainer, jockey, and stable hand wants to be connected in some way to this summer extravaganza of racing.
With 2021 being run behind closed doors due to the pandemic, crowds will be returning for what is sure to be a huge party atmosphere during 2022 which is the Queen’s Platinum Jubilee celebration year. Although those celebrations took place in June, there is sure to be a tribute to Her Majesty at Goodwood.
Goodwood presents another opportunity for the ladies and gents to impress, and fashion is sure to be a big part of the event as it always is.
Trainers To Watch This Year When Using Your New Customer Offers
Charlie Appleby, Aiden O’Brien and John & Thady Gosden are most likely to be fighting it out for the top trainer accolade but there are a few trainers you should keep an eye on
Francois Rohaut from France is one, and Jessica Harrington from Ireland is another.
For the two-year-old races then take note of any runners from Clive Cox and Richard Hannon, while in the big handicaps, it always pays to keep on the right side of Kevin Ryan and David O’Meara.
Factors To Take Into Account When Betting At Goodwood
Ground conditions – During July and August, there is often a tendency for underfoot conditions to be very fast and having a horse than can handle genuine quick conditions is usually the key to making your betting pay during the week.
Any significant rain, however, can make a big difference in the sprint handicaps on the straight course.
Make sure to use your favourite bookmaker and check out all of the Glorious Goodwood sign up offers and free bets on horses that are proven on good or good/firm ground.
Goodwood is known as a speed course, in layman’s terms, it means horses that possess pace are likely to be favoured.
Always look for horses that have run well over this course previously. It is a very undulating track with a distinct camber (gradient) go downwards from the stand side to the far side rail.
There is so much competition among the big bookmakers, even on the High Street, that it pays to watch the offers available.
“Back a 4/1 winner and get a free bet” is always a good option at a big meeting like Goodwood where plenty of favourites get beaten.
Which Are The Best Types of Offers to Take Advantage Of For Betting?
Below, you’ll find some of the types of offers that the sportsbooks and bookmakers will be making for the 2022 Qatar Goodwood Festival.
First Race of the Day Refund On Losing Horses
If you’re planning on betting on more than one day at the Goodwood meeting, then this offer is perfect as it’s really a risk-free wager that gives you a great shot of landing a winner if you fail to pick the winning horse. The free bet is usually given within 24 hours, but usually, after your initial bet has been settled. Your refund can be used on any sport, so don’t worry if the meeting is over by the time you get your refund from Tuesday’s first race.
Goodwood 2022 Non-Runner No Bet
It makes sense to place any ante-post bets with a bookmaker that offers their customers the insurance of getting a refund for any horse that fails to start the race after it has been entered. Nobody wants to see a bet being lost due to not getting a run. The majority of the bigger bookmakers will be offering this for 2022, probably around two weeks before the meeting starts.
Price Match BETTING For GLORIOUS GOODWOOD
Odds on different horses can fluctuate widely so depending on how much you bet on horse racing, getting the best odds can make a big difference to your potential win returns. Leading bookmakers will match any better odds with their nearest business rivals to ensure you get paid out at the best possible odds.
So having a number of accounts with a number of bookmakers gives you the best opportunity to grab the best price on your selection. You can also take advantage of multiple offers.
With the meeting being over five days, it means you can take advantage of a bonus offer every day if you choose five separate bookmakers.
Best Odds Guaranteed BETTING For glorious goodwood
The majority of UK betting sites will offer best odds guaranteed (B.O.G) throughout the meeting, as they normally do for UK and Irish racing. It’s now a standard offer from most bookmakers, aside from the sign-up bonuses, and one smart punters should take advantage of. If your horse starts the race at better odds than you took at the time you placed your bet, the bookmaker will pay you any returns at the better odds. Perfect for Goodwood betting offers.
Betting AT glorious goodwood 2022: Getting Free Bets
Aside from the bonuses and offers for the 2022 Qatar Goodwood Festival like the new customer free bets as a welcome offer, look out for free bets on each race where you place a pre-race wager and then get some free bonuses to use on the next race. Look out for promo codes, bonuses, and any bookmaker specials on their own blog.
Bet365, Betfred, Betfair and Paddy Power often do this and a lot of bookmakers now offer a free bet in the next race if you pick a winner at 4/1 or higher. This offer is always on offer for races shown on terrestrial TV channels like ITV
Extra Places
One of the best offers to look out for to make your betting more profitable, especially if you like to bet each way, are the bookmakers that give enhanced places. Why bet on the first 3 when some are offering 4 places. And for the big handicaps, you will see a number of the major bookmakers paying 6, 7, and sometimes even 8 places.
Final Tip
Make sure to check out all the reviews on Ontheballbets and make sure whatever you are betting on to gamble responsibly.
Other Major Race Meetings
As well as Glorious Goodwood, our expert Richard Smith covers all of the big race meetings from across the World and you can also read his thoughts on Cheltenham, The Grand National, and Royal Ascot with more coming later this year including the Prix De L’Arc de Triomphe, The Breeders Cup and The Melbourne Cup.